Fantasy Football: Deceptive Statistics from Defenses That Faced Seattle Seahawks
Arizona is giving up 228.7 passing yards per game. Dallas has surrendered just 158 yards per contest and Green Bay is allowing 155.7 yards.
But as the season goes on, those ranks will regress toward the mean.
That is because each of those three defenses has faced the Seattle Seahawks and their rookie quarterback, Russell Wilson.
Wilson has played well. It’s not his fault that the defenses that have faced the Seahawks have looked so much better against quarterbacks than their counterparts.
The Packers, Cardinals and Cowboys are all talented units and should be owned in the majority of fantasy leagues.
But fantasy owners should not necessarily be intimidated by those teams, feeling forced to sit their elite fantasy quarterbacks against them.
The Seahawks are built differently than most NFL teams, with a nasty defense and a different offensive philosophy in a generally throw-first league.
At least through three games, the Seahawks are sixth in the NFL in rushing, with credit primarily going to Marshawn Lynch.
The team is running 34.3 times per game.
Conversely, Seattle is dead last in the NFL in terms of team passing attempts with just 75 through three games. As a result, the Seahawks also rank 32nd in passing yards accumulated despite a middle-of-the-pack four passing touchdowns.
Arizona has faced an elite passer in Tom Brady of the New England Patriots. He threw for 316 yards, one touchdown and an interception. But he hasn’t thrown for more than two touchdowns in a single game this season.
The Cowboys gave up 213 yards and a touchdown to Eli Manning in Week 1 without forcing him to turn the ball over.
Lastly, the Packers haven’t faced an elite fantasy quarterback yet this season. But they did allow 211 yards, two aerial scores and 30 rushing yards to Alex Smith in Week 1.
In Week 4, there is really only one decision to make regarding quarterbacks starting against the three defenses that have padded their stats against Seattle.
Ryan Tannehill faces off against the Cardinals. No, thank you.
Jay Cutler plays the Cowboys on Monday night. He’s already had a horrific performance this year. No, thank you.
Drew Brees will match up with the Packers. He’s still a recommended fantasy start this week despite the Packers’ ability to keep opposing quarterbacks’ fantasy point totals low this season.
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