NFL Week 4 Picks: Best Over/Under Values of the Weekend

Mike ShiekmanFeatured ColumnistSeptember 29, 2012

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - SEPTEMBER 16:  Carson Palmer #3 hands off to Darren McFadden #20 of the Oakland Raiders celebrate a touchdown during a game against the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium on September 16, 2012 in Miami Gardens, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

In the parity-filled NFL, picking spreads can be a risky business. Instead, selecting over-under totals are a preference for many.

Is the Cowboys vs. Bears showdown going to do be a high-scoring affair or a defensive battle? All it takes is picking one side of the number.

In many instances, over-unders can be an easier choice. Picking whether the Bills will win by more than five-and-a-half can be a headache.

Week 4 provides some interesting point totals with opportunities for "profit." Winning friendly bets, that is. Check out three totals that are ripe for the taking this weekend.

All totals are from

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions - Over 47 Points

This line would be higher if Matthew Stafford weren't up in the air. Vegas obviously doesn't know much about Shaun Hill.

The Lions' backup QB can sling it; even if he doesn't lead the Lions to victory, he'll be sure to score points.

The Vikings are a guarantee to score at least 20 points, as well as keep the game competitive, which can always add points to the total. The Lions defense is middling at best, so Christian Ponder and the passing game could be a serious factor along with the running game.

This NFC North matchup has the look of a shootout.

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Under 47.5 Points

As good as the Washington offense has been, unless Tampa Bay's opponent is the defending champions, the Buccaneers make their opponent play in a low-scoring battle.

Both Carolina and Dallas scored under 20 points in losing and beating the Bucs, respectively. Tampa Bay will run the ball, play tough defense and channel the home crowd.

Washington will play in a competitive game, but not run up the score enough to cover.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos - Over 48.5 Points

Call it a hunch, but I see this AFC West matchup turning into a Mile High shootout.

Carson Palmer and Peyton Manning will be chucking the ball down the field, leading to either touchdowns or interceptions for touchdowns (both have had their INT histories). When that fails, both kickers can hit booming field goals and kicks will carry in Denver.

Expect some quick scores from Denver's no huddle and some big plays from Oakland's speed, even if it is in garbage time.