Okay, I'll be the one who says it. I have no freaking idea what's going on this year. Nobody does. If someone says they're consistently picking games against the spread and winning, they're lying.
You can blame the replacement refs, but the real ones are coming back, and as much as I despise the replacements the originals aren't exactly perfect.
I thought I had it pegged with my home-field advantage theory last week, but eight road teams covered the spread in Week 3.
So I'm giving up on in-depth research and hard-hitting analysis. This week is going to be entirely about first instinct and guts.
I'm not looking at any numbers to confuse myself, and I'm not going to give myself a chance to second-guess my picks. This week all that gets recorded is my first thought about a game. I'm looking at two teams and making a gut decision based solely on first impressions. Here are my Week 4 picks against the spread, presented in one sentence or less for your convenience. Worst-case scenario: I may waste your money but I certainly won't waste your time.
Season Record: 21-27