Week 3 of the NFL season doesn't have as many large spreads as we've seen over the course of the first two weeks, but there are still plenty of games to analyze.
The bookies don't always get it correct, and I'm here to burst the bubble.
Here are three teams which will earn victories but won't cover their spreads for you.
*Note: all spreads via Bet Online
Chicago Bears (-7.5)
Coming off an ugly loss against the Green Bay Packers, the Bears are somehow favored by more than a touchdown against a St. Louis Rams team that just knocked off RGIII and the Washington Redskins last week.
I'm not buying it.
I still expect the Bears to win, but it's going to be close.
Danny Amendola and Sam Bradford are on the same page, and I see them playing well in Chicago's house.
Bears by four.
San Diego Chargers (-3)
I believe in the San Diego Chargers run defense, I really do.
Ryan has thrown five touchdowns to zero interceptions while Michael Turner has just 74 total yards and one touchdown in two games.
Despite Atlanta's aerial attack, I still like what Philip Rivers and the Chargers defense are doing.
This is a tough game to pick, but I see it being tied for most of the way and it coming down to a last-second field goal.
Dallas Cowboys (-8)
The Dallas Cowboys are eight-point favorites after being dismantled by the Seattle Seahawks a week ago, and it doesn't get much, easier, against the Tampa Bay Bucs in Week 3.
Doug Martin is an exceptional runner, and Dallas couldn't stop another top back in Marshawn Lynch last week.
Cowboys corners will have a tough time sticking with Vincent Jackson, whose coverage will open up opportunities for Mike Williams, Dallas Clark and Doug Martin.
I'm taking Tony Romo to have a bounce-back game in Week 3, but it won't be enough to cover an eight-point spread.
Cowboys by four.
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