Updated Playoff Odds for Every NFL Team After Week 3

Vincent Frank@VincentFrankNFLCorrespondent ISeptember 24, 2012

Updated Playoff Odds for Every NFL Team After Week 3

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    Since 1990, 75 percent of NFL teams that start 3-0 make the postseason. In comparison, only five teams who lost their initial three games went on to make the playoffs that season. 

    It is important to look at simple math here. The NFL regular season consists of 16 games for each team, meaning that we are now nearly 20 percent of the way through the 2012 regular year. In short, it is time to put up or shut up. Championships cannot be won in September, but they sure can be lost. 

    Today's article is going to give you playoff odds for each team in the National Football League as we wrap up the third week of the season tonight. I will not go off the deep end suggesting that 15 teams are favored to make the second season. Rather, the focus is going to be relatively clear in terms of figuring out playoff locks and then going from there. 

    For example, you will not see both the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals with a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs. It just doesn't work that way. 

Miami Dolphins

1 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 10 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    The Miami Dolphins found every single possible way to give their last game to the visiting New York Jets. The icing of their field-goal block team took a lot of effort. 

    This is a football team seriously out of sorts at this point. It doesn't have an identity on either side of the ball and coaching seems a bit pedestrian at this point in the season. 

    Miami is one game "ahead" of both the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills in the race for the AFC East cellar. Expect that number to increase as the season progresses. 


New York Jets

2 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 30 Percent

    Record: 2-1 

    The New York Jets couldn't have gotten any luckier against the Miami Dolphins. Fins kicker Dan Carpenter missed two field goals inside 50 yards, one in overtime. Mark Sanchez seemed to be off his game all afternoon, but came through when it counted the most. 

    Their major issue moving forward is the health of Darrelle Revis and his MRI. The best cover guy in the National Football League might be looking at a torn ACL. If that is the case, the Jets are in a lot of trouble. 

    Either way, they have won two of their first three games and will be in first place entering what has become a big game against the San Francisco 49ers next week. 

    UPDATE: Monday, September 24 at 1:36 PM ET

    An MRI showed that Revis has a torn ACL and will likely miss the rest of the season.


Buffalo Bills

3 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 33 Percent 

    Record: 2-1 

    A bigger story than the Buffalo Bills' second consecutive victory is an apparent collarbone injury to C.J. Spiller, which comes on the heels of a serious injury to Fred Jackson during the Bills' season-opening loss to the New York Jets. 

    Reports indicate that Spiller will miss one-to-two weeks. This means that Tashard Choice, who rushed for 91 yards against the Cleveland Browns yesterday, will be starting next week. 

    If Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to limit his mistakes and plays the way he did against Cleveland, the Bills should be able to withstand these injuries. 

    The next three weeks will be important for this team. Buffalo takes on the New England Patriots, San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals in the next three games. We will have a better gauge of where it stands once the bye hits at the end of October. 


New England Patriots

4 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 75 Percent

    Record: 1-2

    The New England Patriots defense is right back where it left off last season as one of the absolute worst in the National Football League. How do you squander a 10-point lead with less than 4:30 remaining in a game? 

    Josh McDaniels continues to struggle as the Patriots' old/new offensive coordinator. His play-calling down the stretch was nothing short of atrocious. In fact, he is starting to remind me of the inept coordinator that stifled the progression of Sam Bradford last season with the St. Louis Rams. 

    Oh, and Bill Belichick completely lost his cool by going after an official following New England's embarrassing last-minute breakdown.

    This is probably one of the most difficult situations that New England has found itself in over the course of the last five seasons.

    You still have to take into account that only three weeks have passed in the 2012 regular season. New England will right the ship and win the AFC East when all is said and done. Take that to the bank!

Cleveland Browns

5 of 33

    Playoff Chances: Two Percent 

    Record: 0-3

    Teams that lose their first three games of the season have a 2.8 percent chance of making the postseason since 1990. Couple that with the fact that the Cleveland Browns have rookies at all key offensive positions, and it's simple to just say they are done before October has even started. 

    Are there any indications to tell us otherwise? 

    I really don't think so. This team will be lucky to win more than two games in 2012. 

Pittsburgh Steelers

6 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 45 Percent

    Record: 1-2

    These aren't your parents Pittsburgh Steelers. The hard-hitting, smash-mouth defense of yesteryear seems to have gone the way of the "Macarena." How else would you explain The Steel Curtain allowing 227 yards and 20 points to the Oakland Raiders in the second half. 

    That's pretty bad stuff. 

    Ben Roethlisberger seems to be on his game through three outings, which is a good sign for this team. The issue here is that it continues to kick itself in the butt with penalties with 28 through three games. 

    This isn't a disciplined team at this point, and yesterday's loss to Oakland proves this to a T. 



Cincinnati Bengals

7 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 60 Percent

    Record: 2-1

    Finally, the Cincinnati Bengals secondary came to play against the Washington Redskins on Sunday. The problem is that their front seven didn't follow suit. Cincinnati yielded 213 yards and two touchdowns on the ground against Robert Griffin III and Alfred Morris, among others. 

    The good news is that their offense continues to impress a great deal. They racked up nearly 500 yards of total offense as Andy Dalton went for over 300 and A.J. Green accumulated 183 through the air. 

    Opposing defenses have to be scared about how good Cincinnati looks on the offensive side of the ball at this point in the season. 

    With that in mind, I will hedge my bets that the Bengals earn a postseason bid in 2012. Maybe we will see three teams, the same three teams that is, make it to the second season out of the AFC North. That wouldn't surprise me in the least. 

Baltimore Ravens

8 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 80 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    One of the most uplifting stories of the NFL season thus far has to be the way Torrey Smith played Sunday night following the tragic death of his younger brother early yesterday morning. I cannot even imagine going to work just hours after a sibling passes away. That might not have much to do with this article, but I believe darn well that it must be said. 

    On to the Baltimore Ravens, who are now in a first-place tie in the AFC North after three games. They struggled on defense against a solid New England Patriots offense, but came through when it counted the most. 

    I still would love to know why Ray Rice has carried the ball a total of 46 times in three games while Joe Flacco has attempted 110 passes. Anyone? Until Baltimore and Cam Cameron get that straightened out, Baltimore will not be anywhere near the level it could be. 

Indianapolis Colts

9 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 10 Percent

    Record: 1-2

    The Indianapolis Colts are much more competitive than we saw last season, but they are nowhere near the point of being able to win on a consistent basis. Major concerns remain in both pass-protection and pass defense. At this point, Indianapolis has as many holes as any team in the National Football League. 

    We knew this would be the case, as it is in the beginning stages of an extensive rebuilding process. 

    It is all about getting better each week, something that Indianapolis has done. Beyond that, it just wants to see Andrew Luck continue to improve as his rookie season progresses. Any thought of postseason football in Indianapolis has to be shelved for at least another season. 

Jacksonville Jaguars

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    Playoff Chances: 10 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    Blaine Gabbert hits Cecil Shorts III for a game changing 80-yard touchdown with less than one minute remaining to give the Jacksonville Jaguars their first win of the season. Boy, that was damn exciting. 

    This doesn't change the fact that Jacksonville will probably find itself battling with the team it beat on Sunday, the Indianapolis Colts, for the cellar in the AFC South. 

    That being said, this team is much more competitive than we saw last season. With Maurice Jones-Drew appearing to be back at 100 percent and Gabbert looking like a completely different quarterback, the future is looking much brighter in Jacksonville than it did just a month ago. 


Tennessee Titans

11 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 20 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    The Tennessee Titans had a much better performance on Sunday than what we saw in the first two games of the season. They went toe-to-toe with a Detroit Lions team that made the postseason last year. 

    There was a lot to like and a lot to hate about Tennessee's execution yesterday. It was eaten alive by a dynamic Lions offense, but its own offense was ten times better than it was the previous two weeks. 

    Jake Locker looked like a completely different quarterback, albeit against a lackluster Detroit defense. 

    The major issue is Tennessee's defense. It has allowed 116 points through the first three games of the season. That's flat-out abysmal.

Houston Texans

12 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 90 Percent 

    Record: 3-0 

    My No. 1 overall team in the National Football League, the Houston Texans continue to impress in all facets of the game. 

    Matt Schaub is playing completely out of his mind, which is a scary proposition for opposing defenses that have to worry about the best running game in the NFL. The veteran quarterback threw four more touchdown passes against the Denver Broncos on Sunday and has compiled a 102 passer rating through the first three games. 

    More importantly to its success is the fact that Houston's defense continues to be among the best in the entire league. 

    If Houston keeps this up, there is a good chance it will end up representing the AFC in Super Bowl come February. At the very least, it doesn't really have to worry about its division for the remainder of the season with a solid two-game lead. 

Oakland Raiders

13 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 25 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    The Oakland Raiders needed that win on Sunday and came through big time against a solid Pittsburgh Steelers team. They looked vastly different in the second half compared to what we saw in the first 10 quarters of the season. 

    They found a nice mix with Darren McFadden on the ground and Carson Palmer through the air. If those two players can continue to perform the way they did on Sunday, this offense could be extremely dangerous moving forward. 

    Listen, Oakland is in a semi-rebuilding process with Reggie McKenzie and Dennis Allen in their first season with the franchise. This doesn't mean that it cannot compete in a AFC West that seems to be as up in the air in 2012 as it was last season. 

    While I had Oakland ranked No. 32 in my power poll last week, I was impressed by its performance against Pittsburgh on Sunday. It is all about consistency now. 




Kansas City Chiefs

14 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 25 Percent 

    Record: 1-2 

    I cannot get over the fact that the Kansas City Chiefs were able to come back against an elite New Orleans Saints offense on the road after laying a fat egg against the Buffalo Bills the week prior. 

    This team is so up and down that is is hard to imagine it being able to sustain any type of long-term success. In reality, we are probably looking at another season hovering around the .500 mark. 

    Though, if Jamaal Charles continues to run the way he did on Sunday and its defense gets healthy across the board, this team could easily end up winning the AFC West. One of the hardest teams to predict in the NFL, I need to see more from Kansas City to have any type of confidence in its sustained success moving forward. . 

    We will have to take a wait-and-see approach here. 


Denver Broncos

15 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 35 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    It is going to take some time before Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos offense click, but by the time that happens, it might be too late. 

    The offense just doesn't seem to be on the same page at this early point in the season. 

    The bigger concern for Denver is its defense. That unit has yielded six touchdowns compared to one interception through the air over the course of the last two games. If it is unable to get that unit sorted out, Denver is going to be in a huge amount of trouble moving forward. 

    The good news is that Denver is in an AFC West that seems to be ripe for the taking. 


San Diego Chargers

16 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 50 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    Despite a humiliating home loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, the San Diego Chargers still have to be considered the favorites in what promises to be a competitive AFC West race moving forward. 

    Philip Rivers was consistently good through the first two games before reverting to 2011 form against Atlanta yesterday. He threw two interceptions and seemed completely out of sorts throughout the duration of the game. 

    Once Ryan Mathews, who carried the ball 10 times in his season debut against Atlanta, returns to full health, the Chargers offense will be much more balanced. That will enable Rivers to avoid the mistakes we saw yesterday. 

    Defensively, it was much of the same for opposing units against the Falcons offense. San Diego couldn't get consistent pressure on Matt Ryan, allowing the quarterback to pick apart what had been a solid secondary.

    As with all 3-4 defenses, it is all about San Diego being able to get pressure from its front seven. While it did have two sacks on Sunday, this unit has been pedestrian at best through three games. 


St. Louis Rams

17 of 33

    Playoff Chances: Five Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    It seems that the St. Louis Rams took a dramatic step back this week. Sam Bradford struggled against a solid Chicago Bears defense. His accuracy and field awareness just weren't there. Bradford also wasn't helped by a lackluster run game led by Steven Jackson. 

    What continues to impress me the most about St. Louis is the play of its secondary. It held Jay Cutler to under 200 passing yards, as he accumulated a passer rating of just 58.9. Sunday represented the third consecutive game that the Rams secondary has performed extremely well. 

    The Rams need to improve a great deal on the offensive side of the ball to remain competitive on a consistent basis throughout the remainder of the season. If this doesn't happen, you can bet that St. Louis will be cellar dwelling once again. 

    At the very least, it appears to be on an upward trajectory at this early point in the season. The problem is that St. Louis is nowhere near the level of the three teams ahead of them in the division. Hence, the low odds at making the postseason. 



Seattle Seahawks

18 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 30 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    I am not going to change the Seattle Seahawks chances at earning a postseason spot following the disastrous end of Monday Night Football by replacement officials. It doesn't make any sense to reward a team that, for all intent and purposes should be 1-2.

    That being said, unless something dramatic happens like the NFL reversing the results of Monday's game, Seattle finds itself in a second place tie with the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West.

    This will definitely get more interesting as the days and weeks progress. Right now Seattle has to be considered a viable playoff contender.  

Arizona Cardinals

19 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 50 Percent 

    Record: 3-0 

    Yeah, everyone saw this coming. The Arizona Cardinals are currently only one of three undefeated teams remaining in the National Football League. It really doesn't matter if the national media is ready to take this team for real, it is 3-0. 

    That being said, one would expect Arizona to plummet back to Earth in the not-so-distant future. There are still a myriad of different holes on this offense that should be magnified moving forward as opposing teams start taking Arizona more seriously. 

    Still, three wins compared to zero losses is mighty impressive. 


San Francisco 49ers

20 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 80 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    How many times will you see Alex Smith intercepted, Frank Gore fumble and David Akers have a kick blocked in the same game? The San Francisco 49ers played absolutely atrocious football, once again proving you actually have to show up to win a game in the National Football League. 

    As the national media starts overblown magnification of this loss, Jim Harbaugh and company will get back down to brass tax this week in Youngstown. There really isn't an excuse for playing that bad after defeating both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions in the first two weeks of the season.

    Weaknesses were exposed in terms of play-calling as well as pass defense. These two issues need to be fixed if the 49ers are to take that next step and hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February. 

    That being said, this is still one of the most talented teams in the league and a loss on the road in September really doesn't change a whole lot. 

    The 49ers are still among the favorites to win the NFC. That much is obvious. 




Minnesota Vikings

21 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 20 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    As bad as the San Francisco 49ers might have played Sunday, you still have to give the Minnesota Vikings credit. They played a nearly flawless game against one of the best teams in the league. 

    Christian Ponder is the real deal, people. 

    With that in mind, it is still important to stay grounded here. Minnesota has a wide array of different issues on both sides of the ball. It is nowhere near ready to contend in a talented NFC North division. 

    While Minnesota might be ahead of the curve in its rebuilding process, it is not yet a playoff team, though the trajectory is definitely upward here. 

Detroit Lions

22 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 35 Percent 

    Record: 1-2 

    Detroit Free Press reported on Sunday evening that Matthew Stafford suffered a hamstring injury against the Tennessee Titans and will undergo an MRI later today. While the injury doesn't appear to be too serious, he could miss a week. 

    The Detroit Lions lost their second consecutive game and could be cellar dwelling depending on the outcome of the Green Bay Packers game tonight. 

    This is obviously not where Detroit wanted to be heading into the fourth week of the season. 

    Its defense is in full on disaster mode right now, as the secondary continues to get eaten alive. Detroit has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 67 percent of their passes and accumulate a combined 109.3 passer rating through three games. 

    Now, it is important that all their starters actually get healthy and make a difference on the football field come Sunday. More importantly to the sustained success of this team is the performance of Mikel Leshoure, who rushed for 100 yards in his first NFL regular season game yesterday. 

    If Detroit can get balance on the offensive side of the ball, it will be a dangerous team moving forward. Again, it might all depend on the health of Stafford. 



Chicago Bears

23 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 45 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    The Chicago Bears rebounded nicely against the St. Louis Rams on Sunday. Jay Cutler was sacked only twice as the Bears offensive line stood strong against a solid Rams pass rush. If that unit can hold up in front of the talented quarterback, this team will be in great shape moving forward. 

    Though Cutler struggled with accuracy and moving the ball through the air, Chicago's offense did just enough to beat St. Louis. This might be its recipe for success moving forward. Maintaining a close game and then pulling away at the end due to a stout and opportunistic offense. 

    Also important to the continued success of this team is the health of Matt Forte. While Michael Bush is a capable running back, Chicago's offense has run through Forte for the past few seasons. If the former Pro Bowl back is able to get back at 100 percent, it will go a long way in determining whether the Bears make the postseason.



Green Bay Packers

24 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 75 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    Let's be real here. The Green Bay Packers should be 2-1 right now. They were screwed over in more than one way by scab officials last night against the Seattle Seahawks. Nothing more egregious than the touchdown call to end the game. One of the most embarrassing moments in the history of the National Football League. 

    It is what it is. 

    Green Bay must respond after "losing" two of their first three games. While their offense still seems out of sorts, the Packers defense has come up big in each of the last two games. 

    I fully expect Aaron Rodgers and company to find some momentum moving forward. If their defense continues to play this way, barring more officiating gaffs, Green Bay should capture the NFC North. 




New Orleans Saints

25 of 33

    Playoff Chances: Five Percent 

    Record: 0-3

    Damn, that was utterly pathetic. In fact, that word "pathetic" can probably sum up the New Orleans Saints first three games of the season. Math dictates that they are probably not going to make the postseason, but it is much worst than that. 

    New Orleans is completely out of sorts right now and there really doesn't seem to be light at the end of the tunnel. 

    Their defense is giving up nearly 500 yards and 24 first downs per game this season. If they are looking to get back to .500 and attempt to make a surprising playoff run, they will have to improve those defensive stats immensely.

    In short, the Saints' season could be over before the calendar even hits October. That is simply crazy if you ask me. 

Carolina Panthers

26 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 15 Percent 

    Record: 1-2 

    Cam Newton has a lot of growing to do; that much is evident at this point. He isn't a true leader on the football field and really does need to man up. Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers played a disastrous football game against the New York Giants on Thursday. 

    With that in mind, it is important to look at the Panthers' whole body of work. They were destroyed by the Giants and just don't seem to have the necessary talent across the board to compete on a consistent basis. 

    These issues might have been masked a bit by Newton's performance as a rookie last season, but with him returning back down to Earth, they are only going to be magnified more. 

    The Panthers have a lot of work to do and are probably a year or two away from contention. 


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

27 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 15 Percent 

    Record: 1-2 

    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been competitive against two solid NFC East teams on the road in each of the last two weeks. That is the positive news. The bad news is that they came out of each game with a loss. 

    This team is much more competitive than we saw last season, but it has a ton of work to do before being considered serious playoff contenders. 

    Look for Tampa Bay and the New Orleans Saints to challenge for the cellar in the NFC South this season. 


Atlanta Falcons

28 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 90 Percent 

    Record: 3-0 

    Have the Atlanta Falcons clinched the NFC South yet? It is just a matter of time before their postseason ticket is punched, as Matt Ryan and company appear to be the class of the NFC right now. 

    They completely dominated a solid San Diego Chargers team on the road Sunday. In fact, it could be said that they embarrassed San Diego, much like they have their first two opponents.

    In short, Atlanta is right up there with the Houston Texans as the best team in the entire National Football League. 

    As was the case last season, Atlanta's success will be determined in the postseason, where Ryan and company are 0-3 over the course of the last four seasons. Anything short of an extensive playoff run will be considered a disappointed. 

    That being said, the fact that we are talking about the playoffs in September is a prime example of just how good this team is right now. 



Washington Redskins

29 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 10 Percent 

    Record: 1-2

    Robert Griffin III and company have a lot of work to do before they can even be mentioned as contenders in the NFC East. We do see improvements in nearly every aspect of the game, but they just aren't at that point of being able to win on a consistent basis against good football teams. 

    I absolutely love what they are doing on the offensive side of the ball. Alfred Morris continues his stellar play and is going to be a force to reckoned with moving forward this season. If RGIII is able to limit his mistakes, Washington will be able to compete against any team on its schedule. Now having this success translate to wins on the scoreboard is a completely different thing. 

    It is most definitely a work in progress in D.C., but finally, the Skins have hope. When was the last time we could realistically say that? 


Philadelphia Eagles

30 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 25 Percent

    Record: 2-1

    I made the statement that the Philadelphia Eagles were probably the worst 2-0 football team in the recent history of the National Football League. Like clockwork, they proved me right yesterday. This team is a complete and utter disaster right now. 

    Philadelphia has now committed 24 penalties and turned the ball over 12 times through three games. Yes, you got those statistics right. Does anyone realistically think that winning in the NFL is sustainable with these types of overwhelming mistakes? 

    In short, the Eagles were proven to be nothing more than a fraud Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals. Now we will have to wait to see if this whole thing falls apart against the New York Giants, Pittsburgh Steelers, Detroit Lions and Atlanta Falcons over the course of the next four games. 

    If so, we will see Andy Reid on the hot seat and whispers of Nick Foles replacing Michael Vick under center. 



Dallas Cowboys

31 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 40 Percent 

    Record: 2-1 

    That was a less-than-stellar victory by the Dallas Cowboys in their home opener. In fact, they gave the Tampa Bay Buccaneers every possible way to win that game, but were able to escape with a victory. 

    Tony Romo struggled a great deal for the second consecutive game. Jason Witten appears to be a shell of his former self, and Dez Bryant continues to show he is nowhere near a consistent threat in the passing game. 

    The only thing that has kept Dallas from imploding thus far is a vastly improved defense. 


New York Giants

32 of 33

    Playoff Chances: 60 Percent 

    Record: 2-1

    The New York Giants were absolutely dominating against the Carolina Panthers on Thursday. What is even more impressive is the fact that they did that without the likes of Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks. 

    This proves how solid their organization is from the top down. 

    Eli Manning is elite, New York's front seven is among the best in the entire NFL and the passing game features a wide array of different weapons.

    While I might be backtracking on my preseason prediction of New York missing the postseason, it does appear that it will be going up against the Dallas Cowboys, not the Philadelphia Eagles, for the division crown. 

    Either way, it looks like that the Giants have weathered the storm after a disheartening loss to the aforementioned Cowboys in the season opener. 



Division Breakdowns

33 of 33

    AFC East (48 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    New England Patriots: 75 Percent

    Buffalo Bills: 33 Percent

    New York Jets: 30 Percent

    Miami Dolphins: 10 Percent 


    AFC North (87 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    Baltimore Ravens: 80 Percent

    Cincinnati Bengals: 60 Percent

    Pittsburgh Steelers: 45 Percent

    Cleveland Browns: Two Percent 


    AFC South (30 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    Houston Texans: 90 Percent

    Tennessee Titans: 20 Percent

    Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 Percent

    Indianapolis Colts: 10 Percent


    AFC West (35 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    San Diego Chargers: 50 Percent

    Denver Broncos: 35 Percent

    Kansas City Chiefs: 25 Percent

    Oakland Raiders: 25 Percent


    NFC East (35 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    New York Giants: 60 Percent

    Dallas Cowboys: 40 Percent

    Philadelphia Eagles: 25 Percent

    Washington Redskins: 10 Percent


    NFC North (80 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    Green Bay Packers: 80 Percent

    Chicago Bears: 45 Percent

    Detroit Lions: 35 Percent

    Minnesota Vikings 20 Percent


    NFC South (25 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    Atlanta Falcons: 90 Percent

    Carolina Panthers: 15 Percent

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15 Percent

    New Orleans Saints: Five Percent 


    NFC West (60 percent chance of wildcard team) 

    San Francisco 49ers: 80 Percent

    Arizona Cardinals: 50 Percent

    Seattle Seahawks: 25 Percent

    St. Louis Rams: Five Percent


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