2012 College Football Week 4 Picks: Florida State over Clemson

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2012 College Football Week 4 Picks: Florida State over Clemson
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Atlanta Braves: Ranking Each Braves' Position Players Right Now Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-I FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Clemson at Florida State

If you count Murray State (outscored 124-51 to-date) and Savannah State (outscored 138-0 to-date) as opponents, Florida State has outscored the opposition 176-3 through the first three weeks. So, the Seminoles lead all of college football in scoring defense, allowing the rare 1.0 point per game.

This week, Jimbo Fisher's team looks to avenge a 35-30 loss at Clemson in 2011.

The running back by committee isn't just for NFL teams as an RBBC has emerged inside Doak Campbell Stadium. Florida State's Chris Thompson and James Wilder have combined for 474 rush yards on 50 carries (9.48 yards per rush). That's pretty good. Quarterback E.J. Manuel has thrown for 525 yards, six touchdowns with only one pick.

Clemson's Week 1, 26-19, win over Auburn would hold a little more weight had "War Eagle" avoided overtime against Louisiana-Monroe (won 31-28) at home last Saturday. The following week, the ACC Tigers allowed Ball State to rack up 27 points, while lighting up their Cardinals defense for 52. So, while the offense is clicking, the defense is still suspect heading into Week 4.

Tajh Boyd, who posted three touchdown passes in the 2011 matchup, has already thrown for over 700 yards with six touchdowns. In the backfield, Andre Ellington has rushed for 328 yards (6.2 yards per rush) and four touchdowns.

We simulated the Tigers and Seminoles 101 times and it's FSU coming out on top 65.3 percent of the time by an average score of 27-22.

College Football Week 4
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Citadel Bulldogs 5.0 9 Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack 95.0 48  
East Carolina Pirates 19.8 19 Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels 80.2 29  
Bowling Green Falcons 20.8 17 Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies 79.2 27  
Memphis Tigers 21.8 19 Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils 78.2 31  
Army Black Knights 25.7 18 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 74.3 26  
Clemson Tigers 34.7 22 Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles 65.3 27  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 35.1 23 Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 64.9 26  
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 5.0 8 Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 95.0 48  
Idaho State Bengals 5.0 7 Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers 95.0 51  
South Dakota Coyotes 5.0 8 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 95.0 50  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 5.5 12 Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans 95.5 29  
UAB Blazers 10.9 16 Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes 89.1 35  
Central Michigan Chippewas 17.8 17 Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 82.2 29  
UTEP Miners 21.8 20 Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers 78.2 31  
Temple Owls 45.5 19 Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions 54.5 21  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 47.5 23 Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini 52.5 24  
Syracuse Orange 67.3 27 Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers 32.7 20  
Norfolk State Spartans 5.0 9 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 95.0 48  
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 5.0 7 Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets 95.0 44  
Massachusetts Minutemen 9.4 12 Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks 90.6 30  
Kansas Jayhawks 47.0 23 Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies 53.0 24  
Kent State Golden Flashes 54.0 18 Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls 46.0 17  
Connecticut Huskies 60.4 24 Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos 39.6 21  
South Florida Bulls 70.3 29 Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 29.7 21  
California Golden Bears 18.8 23 Boxscore
@ USC Trojans 81.2 33  
Colorado Buffaloes 26.2 20 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 73.8 28  
Arizona Wildcats 33.7 25 Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks 66.3 31  
Oregon State Beavers 45.5 24 Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins 54.5 25  
Utah Utes 54.5 22 Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils 45.5 21  
South Carolina State Bulldogs 5.0 8 Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies 95.0 50  
Akron Zips 5.0 12 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 95.0 32  
Florida Atlantic Owls 5.0 9 Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide 95.0 39  
South Alabama Jaguars 6.4 13 Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs 93.6 34  
Vanderbilt Commodores 14.9 15 Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs 85.1 30  
Kentucky Wildcats 19.8 12 Boxscore
@ Florida Gators 80.2 23  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 35.1 19 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 64.9 25  
Missouri Tigers 38.1 19 Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks 61.9 24  
LSU Tigers 85.1 28 Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers 14.9 16  
Northwestern Oklahoma State Rangers 5.0 9 Boxscore
@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 95.0 34  
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 5.0 7 Boxscore
@ Texas State Bobcats 95.0 34  
New Mexico Lobos 33.7 22 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 66.3 26  
Wyoming Cowboys 76.2 27 Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals 23.8 16  
Virginia Military Keydets 5.0 9 Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen 95.0 42  
Michigan Wolverines 45.5 23 Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish 54.5 24  
Maryland Terrapins 18.8 19 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 81.2 31  
Virginia Cavaliers 21.8 22 Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs 78.2 30  
Kansas State Wildcats 26.7 21 Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners 73.3 29  
Fresno State Bulldogs 47.5 26 Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane 52.5 28  
Mississippi Rebels 64.4 23 Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave 35.6 18  
Marshall Thundering Herd 64.4 28 Boxscore
@ Rice Owls 35.6 24  
San Jose State Spartans 33.7 22 Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs 66.3 28  
Brigham Young Cougars 40.1 24 Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos 59.9 26  
Air Force Falcons 70.8 26 Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels 29.2 18  
Utah State Aggies 75.2 27 Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams 24.8 19  
Nevada Wolf Pack 76.2 27 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors 23.8 19  
Alcorn State Braves 5.0 7 Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves 95.0 44  
Troy Trojans 42.6 26 Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green 57.4 27  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 55.9 22 Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 44.1 21  
Baylor Bears 57.9 30 Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 42.1 25  
Louisville Cardinals 76.2 30 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 23.8 20  
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