The 2009 Honda Classic Six Pack

This year has already been an incredible run of picking winners for me.

Last week, I again cashed another GREAT ticket with Geoff Ogilvy at 20/1 odds to win the Accenture Match Play Championship. I guarantee, you will never see him at 20/1 or higher in that event EVER again.

I hope I am wrong so I can POUND the line again next year.

This week is the Honda Classic at The PGA National Championship Course in Palm Beach Gardens, FL.

This will mark the first East Coast run of the year. I can tell you that if this event were to be held here in Boston, it definitely would NOT happen.

Gotta love March snow.

The Big Easy, Ernie Els, will defend his championship this weekend. He actually has a decent chance of succeeding with the way he is playing right now. Unfortunately, I will not be selecting him as he is under my 20/1 odds allowance.

Luke Donald who was scheduled to play, even after his wrist "injury" at last weeks match play, has announced he will NOT be playing this week. This was announced late on Tuesday, so adjust your fantasy rosters and sportsbook wagers accordingly.

Although he is not in my six pack OR my Yahoo fantasy league this week, Mark Calcavecchia is someone to watch this weekend. He is 40/1 to win. Had he been 60/1 or higher I would have taken a shot with him.

I moved up higher in the Yahoo fantasy league again this week. I have 1160 points so far this season.

In the overall league I am ranked in the 98th percentile at 2,532nd place.

In my group "Fans of Hunter Mahan" I am ranked in the 98th percentile and am currently in 9th place out of 559.

Here is who I am rolling with on Yahoo this week:

GROUP A: Villegas (start) & Ernie Els (bench)

GROUP B: Boo Weekly & Davis love III (start) Brian Gay, Bob Estes (bench)

GROUP C: Matt Kuchar (start) & Kevin Streelman

Let's get to the six pack...

#1 Robert Allenby

Allenby had a respectable showing in his first PGA tournament of the year with a T17 at The Northern Trust Open.

He is also coming off a strong performance at the Australian Open, and a career year in 2008.

I like Robert to continue his winning ways, in Florida this week. He has placed 4th here twice, 5th once, and 14th once.

Allenby has played in this event eight times, and only missed the cut once, way back in 1996.

Allenby is a top notch driver, excels at his GIR percentage, and has been carrying a very low scoring average over the past 18 months.

I love Allenby's Chances this week at 20/1. Could it be back to back 20/1 Australian winners?

Let's hope so.

# 2 Justin Rose

Justin may only play on the PGA Tour 15-18 times a year, but he is a cut maker, and a strong competitor, especially in BIG events, like majors.

The Honda Classic is not a huge event, but is popular and has been a mainstay for many years. This will represent Rose's first PGA event of the year, as the WGC match play does not count.

He is 21st in the Overall World Golf Ranking.

The reason he is so good has to be credited to this guys ability to accurately place long approach shots (200+yds). This ability yields him TONS of eagles each year.

When Rose rarely misses one of those approach shots and finds the bunker instead, it doesn't hurt that he is one of the best sand players in the world.

Justin Rose is 30/1 to win this week, and trust me, that is great value. Some books have him as high as 40/1.

#3 Davis Love III

DL3 again finds himself on the bubble of being in the top 50 in the world. He is currently still ranked 53rd. As I have mentioned, for Davis to punch his ticket for The Masters in April, he needs to be 50th or better.

What better time for The Honda Classic to occur for the veteran?

Davis plays very well at this event. Over the years he has played in the Honda 11 times, and has NEVER missed the cut, EVER. He has been runner up here twice.

What great timing it is for him to come up with a HUGE victory. Love is playing great golf so far this year, and is maintaining his health.

He currently ranks 15th on tour in GIR percentage at 73 percent.

Watch DL3 go low this weekend. At 33/1 odds he is well worth a shot.

#4 Stuart Appleby

Another Australian that I like is Stuart Appleby.

Timing is everything in this game. Appleby is typically a quick starter, but this year he is a little sluggish in getting going. Although he has made three of four cuts, his best finish in a stroke play tourney is T57th.

Stuart Appleby is due for a good showing. He is 14th on the career money list at $23.2 million and over the years he has fared well at this event.

This will mark the first time in six years that Appleby has played in the Honda Classic. He usually finds his way in the top ten and in 1997 he won it.

At 50/1 odds to win, Appleby is a solid selection.

#5 Matt Kuchar

Kuchar won this event back in 2002. Since then, he has not really fared too well here.

The big difference this year is that Matt Kuchar is on fire.

Matt has made four cuts of his five events and has three T25 finishes, with one of those being a T6 at the FBR Open.

If Matt makes the cut this weekend, look for him to contend as he is 3rd on tour in final round scoring average. If he can have a respectable third round, I think he can win the whole thing.

Matt offers great value at 50/1 odds.

#6 Webb Simpson

This rookie has been a terrific surprise in this young 2009. I love announcing that he will be my "dark horse long shot special" this week.

He has poured it on in early '09, making the cut in four out of five events. He has two T10 finishes already.

Simpson missed the cut in his past event at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This does not worry me, as I am taking the "pro-am" format with a grain of salt, and so should Webb.

He has taken a few weeks off and I think will be ready to fire some low rounds this weekend. He is ranked 17th on the tour as an all around player and also ranks 10th in overall putting. These are two outstanding stats to hold in his rookie campaign.

Webb Simpson is 80/1 to win this week.

Good luck to you all!

BLJ