College Football Picks Week 4: Top Games to Bet as Soon as Lines Open

Alex KayCorrespondent ISeptember 17, 2012

FAYETTEVILLE, AR - SEPTEMBER 15:    AJ McCarron #10 fakes a handoff to Eddie Lacy #42 of the Alabama Crimson Tide during a game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Razorback Stadium on September 15, 2012 in Fayetteville, Arkansas.  The Crimson Tide defeated the Razorbacks 52-0.  (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Week 4 of the college football season is just around the corner, and soon books will be releasing the initial lines for most of the big games that will take place on that exciting Saturday.

Obviously, lines will move all over the place from the time they are released up until kickoff, so it’s important to maximize value when you place your bet.

Let’s take a look at some games that will be a better value if you get your wager in early.


No. 1 Alabama vs. Florida Atlantic

At this point, after the Crimson Tide’s 52-0 decimation of the Arkansas Razorbacks, it would be insane to ever bet against Nick Saban’s team.

They simply cover spreads by scoring massive amounts of points and shutting the opposition out.

Florida Atlantic isn’t going to put a single point on this team and I would take the Tide at any given spread south of 60 points.

If you want to find some value in this, grab the Tide as soon as the line is released, before the public bets it up through the roof.


No. 4 Florida State vs. No. 10 Clemson

The Seminoles have been dominant in 2012, destroying Murray State, Savannah State and Wake Forest in back-to-back-to-back weeks.

They’ll finally get a challenge against the No. 10 ranked team in the nation.

Expect this line to be within a few points in FSU’s favor when the bookmakers initially launch it, but the spread will quickly shoot up to Florida State giving at least a TD or possibly more against the Tigers.

If you plan to back the Seminoles, jump on this line early and load up.


No. 13 USC vs. California

The Stanford Cardinal upset the Trojans in Week 3, but Lane Kiffin’s squad isn’t going to lose another game again this season.

It seems that USC always drops a winnable game on the road each season, which is exactly what happened when they went to Palo Alto on Saturday night.

Vegas and the public will not respect the Trojans when this line comes out, meaning a lot of value can be found by backing USC early.

By the time game time rolls around, it wouldn’t surprise me to see more than 75 percent of the action on the USC side and the line significantly less valuable .