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College Football Week 3 Power Rankings: Arkansas Headlines Upsets

LITTLE ROCK, AR - SEPTEMBER 8:   Brent Leonard #18 of the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks dives into the end zone for a touchdown against the Arkansas Razorbacks at War Memorial Stadium on September 8, 2012 in Little Rock, Arkansas.  The Warhawks defeated the Razorbacks 34-31.  (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images
Jake WestrichSenior Writer ISeptember 10, 2012

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
1. Alabama Crimson Tide +1 86.8 32.1 15.9
2. USC Trojans -1 86.6 36.1 19.0
3. LSU Tigers - 83.9 30.9 15.8
4. Georgia Bulldogs - 83.4 31.5 17.3
5. Oregon Ducks +2 78.6 31.6 19.0
6. Oklahoma Sooners - 78.1 32.1 19.9
7. Florida State Seminoles +1 76.9 29.7 17.8
8. West Virginia Mountaineers +1 76.2 32.2 21.3
9. South Carolina Gamecocks +3 74.1 27.2 17.9
10. TCU Horned Frogs +5 73.6 30.3 21.2
11. Ohio State Buckeyes +3 73.3 28.6 19.2
12. Texas Longhorns +1 73.3 27.1 17.7
13. Michigan State Spartans -3 72.8 27.7 18.3
14. Virginia Tech Hokies +5 71.8 27.6 18.6
15. Clemson Tigers +3 71.2 30.3 22.1
16. Michigan Wolverines -5 70.0 27.3 19.1
17. Arkansas Razorbacks -12 69.9 29.4 21.0
18. Brigham Young Cougars +5 69.9 27.7 20.2
19. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +2 68.9 28.7 21.2
20. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 68.7 29.4 21.4
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
21. Boise State Broncos +7 68.6 29.5 22.3
22. Stanford Cardinal - 68.0 27.8 20.0
23. Nebraska Cornhuskers -6 68.0 28.1 20.8
24. Notre Dame Fighting Irish +2 67.1 28.5 21.0
25. Wisconsin Badgers -9 67.0 28.4 21.4
26. Florida Gators -1 66.6 24.5 17.6
27. Louisville Cardinals +2 65.9 26.8 21.0
28. Arizona State Sun Devils +19 65.5 28.3 22.1
29. Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 65.2 25.7 19.5
30. South Florida Bulls +4 64.0 25.9 20.3
31. Washington Huskies -4 63.6 28.5 23.0
32. Arizona Wildcats +11 63.4 28.8 23.5
33. UCLA Bruins +9 63.3 26.9 21.4
34. Tennessee Volunteers -3 63.1 25.6 20.2
35. Texas A&M Aggies +1 62.4 26.2 21.1
36. North Carolina Tar Heels -12 61.6 26.9 21.9
37. Kansas State Wildcats +3 61.4 26.0 21.6
38. Missouri Tigers -8 61.1 25.3 20.7
39. Northwestern Wildcats +10 60.8 26.6 22.5
40. North Carolina State Wolfpack -7 60.2 25.9 21.3
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
41. California Golden Bears -3 59.8 25.6 22.0
42. Vanderbilt Commodores -7 59.7 23.6 19.9
43. Virginia Cavaliers -6 59.1 25.3 21.7
44. Utah Utes -12 58.8 24.0 20.2
45. Texas Tech Red Raiders +1 58.7 28.5 25.0
46. Purdue Boilermakers -5 58.6 25.7 21.8
47. Baylor Bears -2 58.4 26.4 23.4
48. Iowa State Cyclones +9 57.4 25.4 22.2
49. Wake Forest Demon Deacons +16 57.3 25.3 22.7
50. Oregon State Beavers +2 57.0 25.8 22.9
51. Auburn Tigers -12 56.9 24.4 20.9
52. Iowa Hawkeyes +3 56.9 25.0 22.0
53. Washington State Cougars -5 56.7 26.9 24.6
54. Miami (FL) Hurricanes -3 56.2 24.8 22.1
55. Cincinnati Bearcats +1 55.6 24.0 21.5
56. Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 55.0 22.6 20.8
57. Syracuse Orange +2 54.0 24.8 23.1
58. Nevada Wolf Pack -4 53.4 25.4 23.5
59. Illinois Fighting Illini -9 52.3 21.5 20.8
60. Ohio Bobcats +1 52.0 24.1 23.6
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
61. Tulsa Golden Hurricane +1 51.8 25.6 24.9
62. Houston Cougars +16 51.1 27.6 27.5
63. Pittsburgh Panthers -3 50.5 24.1 23.7
64. UCF Knights - 49.7 24.7 25.0
65. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +24 49.1 26.3 26.7
66. Toledo Rockets -3 48.9 25.5 25.8
67. Duke Blue Devils +2 48.0 25.3 25.8
68. Connecticut Huskies -1 47.9 20.9 21.4
69. Penn State Nittany Lions +3 47.8 21.2 21.6
70. Boston College Eagles -4 47.8 22.5 23.0
71. Navy Midshipmen -3 47.7 24.4 24.4
72. Maryland Terrapins +4 47.4 22.5 23.7
73. Kentucky Wildcats -3 47.2 20.3 21.1
74. Marshall Thundering Herd -3 46.9 24.5 25.9
75. Utah State Aggies +17 45.9 24.6 26.1
76. Southern Miss Golden Eagles +6 45.8 23.9 25.6
77. Northern Illinois Huskies - 45.1 22.8 24.5
78. San Diego State Aztecs +16 45.0 22.8 24.8
79. Temple Owls -21 44.5 21.2 23.0
80. Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 44.4 24.1 26.5
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
81. Minnesota Golden Gophers - 44.1 22.3 24.1
82. Western Michigan Broncos -7 44.0 25.2 27.2
83. Southern Methodist Mustangs - 43.2 23.3 25.8
84. Mississippi Rebels -4 42.9 20.3 22.8
85. Air Force Falcons +10 42.7 23.2 26.1
86. Fresno State Bulldogs -7 42.4 23.8 26.6
87. Kansas Jayhawks -13 42.0 23.4 26.6
88. Miami (OH) RedHawks - 41.9 21.9 25.3
89. Indiana Hoosiers -5 40.9 22.1 25.6
90. FIU Golden Panthers -3 40.4 23.1 26.9
91. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +11 40.0 23.3 26.6
92. Bowling Green Falcons -6 39.8 22.3 26.1
93. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -8 39.6 23.9 27.9
94. Hawaii Warriors -1 38.5 20.9 25.1
95. Wyoming Cowboys -4 38.3 22.0 26.5
96. Army Black Knights - 34.5 19.7 25.5
97. Ball State Cardinals +1 34.3 21.8 27.8
98. East Carolina Pirates -1 34.1 21.2 26.9
99. Rice Owls +5 34.0 22.5 28.7
100. Colorado Buffaloes -10 33.7 19.6 26.0
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
101. UTEP Miners -2 32.3 21.0 28.0
102. Central Michigan Chippewas +3 29.2 19.8 28.4
103. Troy Trojans +4 28.9 21.1 30.0
104. Colorado State Rams -3 28.6 17.2 26.0
105. North Texas Mean Green +1 27.8 19.8 29.3
106. Tulane Green Wave -6 27.6 19.2 28.1
107. Kent State Golden Flashes +1 27.0 15.2 24.2
108. Buffalo Bulls +1 25.5 17.3 27.1
109. UAB Blazers +3 25.5 20.2 30.3
110. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 25.5 18.6 29.1
111. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 23.4 19.4 30.6
112. Eastern Michigan Eagles -9 23.0 16.5 27.4
113. San Jose State Spartans -2 22.3 19.2 30.9
114. New Mexico State Aggies -1 22.3 19.7 31.1
115. UNLV Rebels - 19.5 16.0 29.3
116. Memphis Tigers +4 18.1 16.3 30.5
117. Akron Zips +4 17.7 15.7 30.1
118. Florida Atlantic Owls -1 17.6 16.0 29.5
119. New Mexico Lobos -1 17.0 15.7 30.1
120. Idaho Vandals -1 16.3 15.6 30.8
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
121. Texas State Bobcats -5 15.6 16.0 31.0
122. Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners - 14.1 15.7 32.6
123. South Alabama Jaguars - 13.1 15.0 32.4
124. Massachusetts Minutemen - 9.6 11.7 31.6

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