US Open 2012 Men's Final: Last-Minute Predictions for Djokovic vs. Murray

Justin WeltonAnalyst IISeptember 10, 2012

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 08:  Andy Murray of Great Britain reacts during his men's singles semifinal match against Tomas Berdych of Czech Republic on Day Thirteen of the 2012 U.S. Open at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center on September 8, 2012 in the Flushing neighborhood, of the Queens borough of New York City.  (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images for USTA)
Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Will Andy Murray's magical 2012 run continue by winning his first Grand Slam? Or will Novak Djokovic bookend his 2012 season by winning the first and last Grand Slams of the year?

Monday's epic U.S. Open Men's Final will have all the answers. Here are some last minute predictions for this final: 


Murray's early struggles will lead to big hole

Two of Murray's three four-set matches have seen Murray drop the opening set. Against Tomas Berdych he lost 7-5 and against Marin Cilic he lost 6-3. 

Djokovic will put his foot on Murray's neck if he starts out slow for the third time this tournament.

When Djokovic smells blood, he goes for the kill shot. Murray will have to play much better in the early going if he stands a chance against Djokovic. 

Murray will once again stumble out of the gates. 


Weather won't be that much of a factor

Weather has been the only downfall of the 2012 U.S. Open. With swirling winds and rain, the conditions haven't been great.

Expect a little wind but an overall gorgeous day at Arthur Ashe Stadium.  


Djokovic will win 80 percent of his first serve points and 70 percent of second serve points

Djokovic has won 78 percent of his first serves and 60 percent of his second serve points. He will up both of those numbers in this final. Both statistics are ranked in the top 15 for the tournament.

With Murray's inability to provide clean service (21 double faults) he would have to play well against Djokovic's serve. 

It won't happen.

Djokovic has been on point with his service throughout the U.S. Open, and he will put his final stamp on the tournament with a dominating service game. 


Djokovic defeats Murray in straight sets

Djokovic dominates on hard courts despite Murray giving him tough challenges over the years. Djokovic has great footwork which works perfectly on the hard surface, and he doesn't make many mistakes when he's on top of his game.

Murray hasn't been in this situation before despite having a great 2012 season. He went up against Roger Federer twice in crucial championship matches and split. 

He's going to have to go through a learning curve before he defeats Djokovic in a Grand Slam final. 


Final prediction

Djokovic defeats Murray 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.