NFL Predictions: Which Rookie QB Will Win a Super Bowl First?

Eli NachmanyCorrespondent IIISeptember 7, 2012

SEATTLE, WA - AUGUST 30: Quarterback Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks drops back against the Oakland Raiders at CenturyLink Field on August 30, 2012 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

The rookie quarterback class of 2012 figures to showcase five starters on opening day 2012 in Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill, Brandon Weeden and Russell Wilson.

Of the five, Luck and Weeden have the most polish, but Griffin III and Wilson have the most upside.

Tannehill is an interesting case in his own right, considering that the former Texas A&M star is a wide receiver convert and is still figuring out his identity under center.

To win a Super Bowl, the right combination of quarterback talent and circumstance must be in place. Of the rookie quarterbacks, each has a different set of odds when it comes to potentially winning a Super Bowl.

To go in reverse order, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson would be a trendy pick for this article. The Wisconsin graduate is intelligent, athletic and he has a track record of success.

Last year, he led Wisconsin to the Rose Bowl and proved that a 5'11" quarterback can be successful at a high level.

Wilson has a great team in Seattle that is on the rise and his chances of being the first rookie quarterback in this class to win a Super Bowl are rather good.

Considering Brandon Weeden, the elder statesmen of the signal-callers in this article, the former Oklahoma State quarterback knows what he's doing on the field and is already a good veteran-type leader in his first year.

The Browns have a good young core of offensive skill players and are in the midst of a rebuilding process, but Weeden doesn't have a very large window of opportunity.

Cleveland doesn't appear to be legitimate Super Bowl contenders and it's somewhat unlikely that Weeden even wins a Super Bowl at all.

As for Tannehill, whom we touched on earlier, this Miami Dolphin certainly has all of the physical gifts to be a Super Bowl quarterback.

If Tannehill can get it together with his on-field awareness, he'll likely be a very good field general for the Dolphins in a number of years.

Either way, though, the Dolphins play in a hotly contested division and it's unlikely that the team breaks through anytime soon.

The next quarterback is Robert Griffin III, whose dual-threat game style is unlike any we've ever seen before. Michael Vick was never this good of a pocket passer.

Griffin comes into a tailor-made system in Washington, where coach Mike Shanahan will integrate the young quarterback into a complex offensive scheme.

This Baylor draftee should be able to find early success, but he too plays in a very tight division and it's tough to say whether or not the Redskins will compete anytime soon with teams like the Giants, Cowboys or Eagles.

Finally, we touch on super-prospect Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts.

Luck is on a young, hungry Colts team that could compete for a title in less than three years. The pieces around him, like Coby Fleener, Dwayne Allen and T.Y. Hilton, are also just getting started in the league and will grow with their quarterback.

The Colts are on the rise and, outside of the Texans, the AFC South isn't a terribly difficult division to crack. Even the Texans are aging on offense.

If I had to pick one, I'd say Andrew Luck is the best bet to win a Super Bowl first, with young Russell Wilson a rather close second.

Look for all of these quarterbacks to find success some way or another, though.