The Memphis Tigers will not win the NCAA Basketball championship this year.  To those Memphis fans reading this, I sincerely apologize.  You Memphis fans can take heart, my school, the Arizona Wildcats will be lucky to make the tournament at all and will most likely lose in the first round. 

The fact that Memphis won't win it all shouldn't come as a surprise to anybody.  They cannot make a free throw to save their lives.  At 59.6%, they rank at or near the bottom of the NCAA.  We've seen it over and over, close games in the tournament that come down to a free throw fest in the last two or three minutes.  No team is immune from it. 

Derrick Rose is certainly an amazing athlete and a sure fire NBA Lottery Pick, and at just a hair under 70 percent at the free throw line, he qualifies as the Tigers' best free throw shooter.  Chris Douglas-Roberts who seems to me to be in his eleventh season with Memphis is an adequate player who shoots 45 percent from three-point-range.  But can Memphis rely on his hot shooting to blow out all of their opponents? 

If I am an opposing coach, I tell my kids to foul Joey Dorsey whenever humanly possible, the guy shoots under 40 percent from the line.  Memphis will likely destroy their first round victim, but as the tourney gets going, they will be tested by a smart coach who will expose this fraud number one seed.  How Memphis responds is anyone's guess.  My guess, they will fold like a tent.  If a game is close (five-seven points) in the final four minutes, see if Memphis is put to the test at the line and watch them crumble.

I only hope that Gus Johnson is calling that particular game.