Sometimes not drafting the wrong guy can be as important as drafting the right guy. It can mean the difference between rubbing your friends’ faces in your league championship all year and having to wear hot pink flip-flops to work for a week.
With that in mind, here are a four quarterbacks to stay away from this year:
Schaub threw for 4,770 yards and 29 TDs in 2009, but that’s not the QB you’re getting if you draft him this year. Houston is a running team these days, so while Schaub is still a very good passer, he won’t be getting the opportunities he had in years past.
That, along with the natural wear and tear of two more years in the NFL, will diminish his numbers enough this year that you should think twice about drafting him, especially in the early rounds.
Palmer is a similar case to Schaub: He would have been a great pick a few years ago. Now, he has turned into a quarterback who throws more interceptions than touchdown passes.
Yes, he will be more comfortable with the Raiders offense this year, and he will take some deep shots down the field to Oakland’s speedy and talented receivers. But he no longer has the arm strength to consistently cash in on those shots, and the INTs may outnumber the TDs once again this year.
He’ll get you a ton of rushing yards, but he has yet master the forward pass. He just gets it done, but his numbers often don’t. He’s a leader but not a starter.
As polarizing as he is, the Fantasy Football argument about Tim Tebow is shockingly simple: Don’t draft him. Matthew Berry, ESPN.com’s Fantasy Football shaman, put it best:
“But the fact remains that to begin the year, Tebow is once again buried on someone's depth chart, and that uncertainty means he can't be relied on as more than a lottery ticket.”
I might draft Tebow instead. The Jets camp has predictably been a circus again this year and the clowns aren’t going to suddenly stop hopping out of the ridiculously tiny car once the season starts.
Plus, it can’t be easy to be a signal-caller with all of The Big Apple Tebow-ing over your shoulder. The Jets franchise is just not an environment conducive to productive quarterbacking right now.
Myriad distractions aside, the numbers suggest that Sanchez is a bad bet this year. He showed no improvement from 2010 to 2011: In fact, he regressed a little. His completion percentage and passing yards stayed pretty much the same and he threw five more interceptions for a whopping 18 on the season.
A few bad starts to start the season could mean...well, you know what it could mean.