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I am not going to pick a safe 2-2 final score this time around.
I say FC Barcelona will win 3-1 in the Spanish Super Cup, Second Leg.
I do believe Barca will play a bit more aggressive than expected in the first half. Look for either Pedro or David Villa to start at LW. Pedro has been in good form and el guaje will look to leave his mark in the Supercopa. Messi will be swarmed by the Real defense, so look for Pedro and/or Villa to get a goal or two in the game.
Historically, Pedro has always played well against Real Madrid. Just saying.
As much as Real Madrid want to control the midfield, they will not be able to. Not that they won't make the effort to do so.
Real will come out hot and will get a goal in the first half, but not by Ronaldo. Ozil will bounce back and Angel Di Maria will cause problems for Barcelona.
I see a 1-1 tie heading into halftime.
In the second half, I see Real making their last push to take the title as they need the win, no tie. But with Real's midfielders moving closer up front, Barcelona will counterattack and Messi will not score, instead, he'll set up his teammates for a goal, making the score 2-1.
With Real needing two goals just to tie the global score, Los Blancos will practically send everyone to play offense. Barcelona will once again take advantage of Real's desperation and score a very late goal to end the game at 3-1 (6-3 on aggregate).
As good of a team Jose Mourinho's Real Madrid is, it's clear after their first three games of the competitive season that they are not at their best this early into the 2012-13 season. Real will miss out on being Super Cup champions.
Nevertheless, this Real team will pick themselves up and be back to challenge FC Barcelona for La Liga, Copa Del Rey and of course in the UEFA Champions League if they were to meet there at some point.
While FC Barcelona did not look good at all in the game against Osasuna (credit has to go to Osasuna's great play as well), I believe this team—with a one-goal lead and with the tiki-taka which has had Real Madrid's number for most of the past four years—will be able to go into the Santiago Bernabeu and lift the Spanish Super Cup in front of the Madridistas.
If I'm wrong, it is what it is.
I just wanted to take a bit of a risk with this article just like I'm sure Real Madrid and FC Barcelona will take plenty of risks in the second leg of the 2012 Spanish Super Cup.
You have to take risks in Clásicos, even though one is familiar with the other's game.
It's just one of the elements that makes El Clásico a rivalry unlike any in sports.
Xoel, The Voice of FC Barcelona on Bleacher Report.
Don't forget to check out my other columns:
Lionel Messi Leads Barcelona to Comeback Victory at Osasuna
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: Grading the Barca Players in Win vs. Madrid