The quest to beat Joe Lunardi, pickin' the NCAA bracket (after games of 3/14)

Jesse Arendt by Contributor Written on March 15, 2008
(Page 7 of 10)

6. Washington St: 24-8, 19, 42, Pac-10 #3
Good: 12 top 100 wins, non-conf over Baylor and Gonzaga, both on the road. In conference, wins over USC twice and Oregon twice. 3rd best team in Pac-10 means auto credibility.
Bad: No top 25 wins, not great non-conference besides Baylor-Zags trip.

Why seed: 24 wins, 3rd best team in Pac 10, lots of solid wins, but none great to move up, could move up or down a slot in tourney. Move to semifinals keep them at a 6 at worst and maybe a 5.

11. Baylor: 20-10, 43, 43, Big 12 #6

Good: Decent non-conf, with wins over Notre Dame and to-the-wire games against Washington St and Arkansas. Conference wins over Tex Tech, Kansas St, and 5 OT thriller over Texas A&M. 8 of 9 losses to top 50 teams, 17-2 against below top 50.
Bad: Only 7-9 against top 100 teams, not many real good wins away from home outside of Notre Dame game, which was neutral. Only finished 4-6.
Why seed: Pretty good in, 20 wins and high RPI and above .500 mark in solid conference gets them pretty in, are a little worrisome after drop to Colorado in Big 12 quarters.

3. Louisville: 24-8, 12, 5, Big East #2
Good: 14-4 against the Big East always applauded. Road win at UNLV, Also beat Kentucky and had solid non-conference run. Conference wins include Marquette twice, Georgetown (split), Pitt, Notre Dame, and Villanova. Won 9 of last 11.
Bad: Lost 3 non-conf games (BYU, Dayton, Purdue) though all good teams, 2 (relatively) bad Big East losses to Cincinnati and Seton Hall.
Why seed: Hot team besides 3-point loss at G'Town this past weekend, can push for #2 if win tournament. Can drop with another loss, but probably safe at #3. Might drop if team at 4 or 5 seed makes unexpected tourney run after Big East quarters loss.

14. Cal St Fullerton: 22-8, 86, 207, Big West auto guess

Only of top 4 cluster with UCSB, Cal St Northridge, and Pacific, to make it to the finals and take on UC Irvine. Irvine would be either a 15 or likely a 16. CSF will be here, and maybe but unlikely a 13.

7. Gonzaga: 25-7, 30, 93, WCC #2
Good: solid non-conf schedule, wins over W Kentucky, Virginia Tech, UConn, and was the regular season champ in the WCC, advancing to the finals.
Bad: Couldn't seal deal, lots of non-conf losses, though most good, also included Texas Tech.
Why seed: 8-7 against top 100, lots of high quality games for WCC team, but couldn't finish off WCC champ, so probably stuck around here.

10. Kentucky: 18-11, 47, 13, SEC #5

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written on March 15, 2008 Sports

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