The quest to beat Joe Lunardi, pickin' the NCAA bracket (after games of 3/14)

Jesse Arendt by Contributor Written on March 15, 2008
(Page 6 of 10)

8. Miami-FL: 21-10, 32, 36, ACC #4
Good: 8 wins vs top 100 teams, non-confernce wins over VCU and Mississippi St, ACC wins over Clemson (split), Virginia Tech, and Duke (split).
Bad: Only 8-8 in conference play, bad losses to Winthrop and Boston College. Pretty creampuff non-conference in general (135 SOS).
Why seed: 21 wins, .500 in ACC, and solid non-conference wins and few bad losses. High RPI as well. Seed could vary greatly, anywhere from 6 (if make ACC tourney run) to about 9 with quarterfinal matchup with bubble team Va Tech Friday. I have them at 8 after loss.

9. Kansas St: 19-11, 50, 28, Big 12 #5
Good: Beat Kansas. Have best player in nation in Michael Beasley. Played a solid schedule. 10 Big 12 wins means something this year (went 10-6 last year and didn't get in), also beat Oklahoma and Texas A&M in conference.
Bad: Lost every real tough non-conference game, blown out by Xavier. Also lost road games to Missouri and Nebraska. Lost four of last six.
Why seed: Solid wins, six top 100 wins good, but 6-10 against that group. Should be good, but not completely safe. Did drop, and loss to A&M not bad, but resume looks less impressive, though Kansas win looming huge for them at the time.

5. Drake: 26-4, 10, 72, MVC champion

In by way of defeating Illinois St (soundly) in MVC final last Sunday.

Why seed: 7 top 50 wins, though 3 were Illinois St. Did also beat Butler in Indiana. 15-3 in solid conference, lots of decent wins. Worst loss to Missouri St. Will probably still be 4-5 seed. Worthy of a 4-seed. See if they get it.

12. Villanova: 20-12, 51, 45, Big East #8
Good: .500 in Big East play, 3 top 50 wins and 7 top 100 wins, beat George Mason and Temple non-conference. Beat Pitt (split), Syracuse (split), Uconn,and West Virginia in conference.
Bad: Bad losses to Rutgers, DePaul, and Cincinnati. Only 9-9 in conference iffy. Lost 5 consecutive games at one point.
Why seed: Essentially spot for 8th Big East team. Currently my last team in… even after getting blown out by Georgetown. Not comfortable at all though.

4. Vanderbilt: 26-7, 11, 37, SEC #2
Good: 11-top 100 wins, non-conference over Austin Peay, Utah State, S Alabama and Umass. Conf wins over Kentucky, Miss St, and Tennessee.
Bad: All wins listed in good section home or neutral. Only 10-6 in conference play, 4th best. Lost 2 of last 3.
Why seed: Could drop if lose early in SEC tournament. Probably won't move up. Placed here because top-11 RPI hard to ignore, drop a little with too much home court reliance.

13. George Mason: 23-10, 62, 127, CAA champion

In as conference champions, but were relatively close to bubble, so should have a seed around 12-14. Nice to see them back. Did beat Dayton, Kansas State, Cleveland St, and VCU this year.

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written on March 15, 2008 Sports

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