The quest to beat Joe Lunardi, pickin' the NCAA bracket (after games of 3/14)

Jesse Arendt by Contributor Written on March 15, 2008
(Page 4 of 10)
Seeded here b/c bubble team if hadn't won conference, would have been here if in anyway.

4. Michigan St: 25-7, 14, 50, Big Ten #3
Good: 8-5 vs top 100 teams, 6 wins vs top 50, non-conf wins over BYU and Texas. Conference wins over Purdue (split), Indiana (split), and Ohio State (split). Played UCLA to the wire.
Bad: 12-6 in conference good, not great, similar statement about non-conference schedule. Bad losses to Iowa and Penn St.
Why seed: Because they're Michigan State and a 12-win team in Big Ten, and showed well in competitive non-conference games against BYU, UCLA and Texas. Moves up one with poor Indiana performance and solid probable bubble-busting win over Ohio St.

13. Siena: 22-10, 67, 117, MAAC champion

In by winning MAAC championship over Rider. 14-seed due to decent RPI, and 2 impressive wins, over Stanford and Boise St in non-conf. Could be an upset pick.

6. Pittsburgh: 24-9, 18, 32, Big East #6
Good: Beat Duke in New York, and Oklahoma St in non-conference. Beat Georgetown, Syracuse, West Virginia, and Villanova in Big East play.
Bad: 10-8 in Big East decent, not great, lost 4 of last 7. Bad losses to Cincinnati and Rutgers don't help.
Why seed: Drops a little due to mid-season loss of Mike Cook, hasn't played quite as well after losing him for the season. In safely though, and 7-7 vs top 100 solid. Win over Louisville starts trek upwards, move up another slot with Marquette win, may make a trip to 5-seed with win over G’Town Saturday.

11. Oregon: 18-13, 58, 33, Pac-10 #6

Good: Lots of solid wins, 8 top 100 and 4 top 50 wins, big non-conference win over Kansas St on the road, played 6 road-neutral games out of conference. Beat Arizona twice, Arizona St (split) and Stanford (split) in Pac-10 play.

Bad: 13 losses, 9-9 in conference and 1-8 against the top 4 teams in the conference; while played road games in non-conference, only 2 against NCAA quality opponents (163 SOS).

Why seed: last in, more good wins than other close teams, Pac-10 really good conference this year, worthy of 6. Probably safe, barring 3 surprising tourney titles. A-10 already has one of them.

3. Xavier: 27-6, 9, 20, A-10 auto guess
Good: Dominant non-conference performance, beating Kent State, Indiana, Creighton, Kansas St, and Belmont. 14-2 in underrated A-10 conference, did beat Dayton twice, UMass, and St Joe's (split). 12 wins over top 100 teams.
Bad: Relatively under the radar, outside of 2-game run in neutral site, 0 top 30 wins.
Why seed: Lots of good wins, I think A-10 will be disrespected a little bit, and did lose 5 times anyway. Still at 3 with St Joe’s on a roll.

14. Cornell: 21-5, 65, 263, Ivy champion

In automatically as Ivy league champ, top 70 RPI gets them a bit higher than typical for Ivy teams. Only top 100 win was over MAAC champ Siena.

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written on March 15, 2008 Sports

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