1. North Carolina: 30-2, RPI 2, SOS 3, ACC #1
Good: 9-1 vs RPI top 50, 18 wins vs top 100, most in nation, more good wins than given credit for, especially over mid-seeds like Davidson, BYU, Ohio St, Kentucky, Nevada, and Kent St, not to mention conference wins over Duke (split), Clemson (twice) and Miami.
Bad: Loss to Maryland, only top 20 win this year was last week against Duke. Lots of good wins, few great wins.
Why at seed: too many good wins, rpi 2, ACC regular season champ
16a. Miss Valley St: 14-15, 239, 315, SWAC est. champ
Not going to say much on them, except estimated to be champ in the worst conference in Division 1, and even worse now as the #3 seed as favorite in SWAC title game Saturday.
16b. Mount St Mary's: 18-14, 159, 197, NEC champ
In by way of beating Sacred Heart Wednesday. Lost all 3 games played against top 100 opponents. Best win of the year was NEC semifinal win over #1 seed Robert Morris.
8. Kent St: 27-6, 26, 120, MAC auto guess
Good: Nine top 100 wins, a ton for a mid-major. Non-conference wins over Illinois St, George Mason, Cleveland St, and St Mary's. Will be in even if don't win automatic bid.
Bad: Bad losses to Detroit, Bowling Green and Toledo. 8 of 10 wins over top 100 against 51-100, and no top 30 wins (did lose to Xavier and UNC).
Why seed: A little lower than some think, typically based off of history of committee underseeding mid-majors, kind of a prove it idea.
9. USC: 21-11, 29, 9, Pac-10 #4
Good: Won six of last eight, including dominant win over Stanford. Also solid wins over Oklahoma, Arizona, and UCLA. Also went down to the wire against Kansas and Memphis. Win over Arizona St may help move up, UCLA win would definitely move them up.
Bad: Couple bad losses, against Cal and a completely horrible one against #313 Mercer.
Why seed: Got themselves safely in with 2 big wins this week. 12 top-100 wins always appreciated. Could still move up. Good win over Arizona St Thursday, hard fought loss to UCLA Friday. Probably be an 7 or 8 seed when said and done.
5. Notre Dame: 24-7, 25, 81, Big East #4
Good: Only one of six losses against team not in NCAAs (Ga Tech), dominant home team, beat Kansas St, Villanova, Syracuse, Pitt, Marquette, UConn, and West Virginia.
Bad: Not as good on road, only 7-7 in road/neutral games.
Why seed: Lots of good wins, Big East has been getting bumps up by the committee, so about right for them, not real good away from home may hurt them in tourney. Did probably contribute to early loss to Marquette Thursday.
12. Davidson: 25-6, 36, 129, Southern champion
Good: Played tough opponents close, UNC loss by 4, Duke loss by 6, and UCLA by 12. Won 22 straight.
Bad: No wins over top 100 teams, would have kept them out of the tourney in my view.
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