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I bet most people didn't see this one coming. After all, Vogelsong is one of the most underrated and ignored pitchers in the majors, even though he has been absolutely great the last two years.
As I mentioned, it was hard not to put Johnny Cueto in this spot, but I have no problem with Vogelsong being here either. When looking at his body of work, there's no reason not to have him as one of the top two or three guys to win the award.
He didn't get off to the best start in April, but after that he has been absolutely dominant.
From May 3 to August 8, Vogelsong made 18 starts and pitched at least seven innings in 14 of those 18 starts. Even more impressively, Vogelsong gave up two runs or fewer in 14 of the 18 starts ranging from the dates mentioned.
As recently as August 2, Vogelsong had a 2.22 ERA, which led the majors. His ERA today is 2.72, but that number is a bit skewed, so don't let it fool you. In his last start on August 13, Vogelsong gave up eight earned runs which caused his ERA to shoot from 2.27 to 2.72.
Again, the Cy Young is based on your entire body of work and not just what you've done recently, so that terrible start shouldn't affect him too much.
Some of his other statistics aren't necessarily outstanding, but again, he gets the job done. The main reason is because he keeps the ball in the park, as he has only given up 10 home runs the entire season.
Vogelsong is, without a doubt, overshadowed by teammates such as Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum. Because of that, will he win the Cy Young? Probably not. Is he deserving? Absolutely.