Pittsburgh Pirates logoPittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates: How They Might "Sell" Brad Lincoln to the Phillies

MILWAUKEE, WI - JULY 13:   Brad Lincoln #32 of the Pittsburgh Pirates  pitches again the Milwaukee Brewers in the 6th inning of their game at Miller Park on July 13, 2012 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Brewers defeated the Pirates 10-7.(Photo by Mark Hirsch/Getty Images)
Mark Hirsch/Getty Images
Tom AuSenior Analyst IIJuly 28, 2012

The Philadelphia Phillies want Brad Lincoln as a middle reliever from the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Bucs think that two months of Shane Victorino is too little in return. The Phillies think that eight months of Hunter Pence is too much.

My previous piece put forth the opinion that an offer of Lincoln plus something else for Pence might work. This piece is about how to work a deal with Lincoln assuming that the Phillies are willing to give up Victorino, but not Pence, for him.

The Phillies aren't contending this year, so two months of Victorino are just a liability for them (but not for the Pirates who ARE in contention). On the other hand, with Chase Utely and Jimmy Rollins healthy, they might want to keep Pence for a 2013 run.

To state my position, I'm unwilling to trade Lincoln for two months of Victorino or Pence, but would be glad to trade Lincoln for eight months of Pence (who becomes a free agent at the end of 2013). Therefore, I would accept a deal for FOUR months of Victorino/Pence.

So how can one construct "four" months of Victorino (or Pence)? Indirectly, by using prospects. Specifically, I propose that the Pirates "sell" Lincoln to the Phillies for a mid-level pitching prospect, say Julio Rodriguez or Lisalberto Bonilla, using two months of Victorino to make up the difference.

In so doing, I'm assuming that Lincoln will be a low-to-mid rotation pitcher at best, and more likely, a long reliever/spot starter. I'm not in the camp of those who think that Lincoln will blossom into a top of the line pitcher. Those people wouldn't be willing to trade him even for Pence.

Basically, I'm saying that I want, not a top of the line prospect, but a potential replacement for Lincoln; someone who has perhaps a 50-50 chance of developing into "Brad Lincoln" in two to three years. Two months of Victorino would then represent the other 50 percent. Or put another way, the two pieces together would then represent "four" months of Victorino, which is my starting point.

If the prospect works out, the Pirates would have gotten two months of Victorino for "free." If not, they would have traded Lincoln for the two month rental in Victorino. The average of the two is worth several months of Victorino.

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Download
Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices