By far, the toughest race on the card today at Saratoga is the co-feature, which is the nine furlong $600,000 Jim Dandy.
Alpha appears the horse to beat, but I'm not even using this talented three-year-colt in my exotic wagering. I absolutely love the fact that Ramon Dominguez returns to ride this talented horse, but I just don't like the fact that this horse hasn't run since a poor showing in the Kentucky Derby, on May 5.
Fast Falcon is my pick, despite being 10-1, and stepping up in class. Rosie Napravnik rides this Nick Zito trained horse, who is coming off a nice second place finish in the Grade Two Jim Dwyer on June 30. This horse has improved Beyer ratings in every race and should finish strongly.
Atigun is 8-1 and also appears capable of winning this race. Trainer Kenneth McPeek has this colt in good form, with a second place performance in the Belmont Stakes on June 9 in his last race. Any moisture would help this horse. I also love that he's losing nine pounds from his last start.
Neck 'n Neck is the 3-1 morning line favorite, but like Alpha, I'm not using him at all in my exotic wagering. This colt has been awesome in his last two starts, winning both by over six lengths, but I don't think the distance suits him. Two fantastic bullet works over the main track at Saratoga caught my eye.
My Adonis is 20-1 and will also benefit from rain, as he's never run worse than third in three career starts. Javier Castellano picks up the mount for trainer Kelly Breen. This horse will try to win wire to wire, as he seems to be the legitimate pace setter.
Teeth of the Dog is another colt that is in great form, winning his last two, in impressive fashion. Joel Rosario was aboard this horse in both starts, for trainer Michael Matz. The only poor performance for this horse in seven career starts was the Preakness, where he was 15 lengths behind the winner.
Liaison is the Bob Baffert trained horse from California. If Bob Baffert is shipping this horse, the horse is clearly dangerous. On July 23, Liaison had a superb six furlong work in 1:12.2.
Prospective is the last horse in the field of eight, but I really like this 12-1 morning line colt. Trainer Mark Casse has this colt in top form and John Velazquez picks up the mount, which should only help his chances. With a win at nine furlongs already, Prospective should have no problem with the distance.
Quite a few horses have a chance to win this horse, but I'm picking Fast Falcon over Atigun, Prospective and Teeth of the Dog.
I see My Adonis being pushed by Teeth of the Dog for the first half of the race, and then the stalkers all making big moves. In deep stretch, Fast Falcon will be flying in the middle of the track, and win by a nose, in 1:51.
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