1. Doug Martin, TB
What else can I say?
2. Fred Jackson, BUF
Though Jackson is knocking on that dangerous 30-year-old milestone that kills RBs, at a current No. 48 ADP, he represents a decent value, as I think he has one more season left in him.
3. Mark Ingram, NO
Offseason knee surgery kept him out of OTAs and minicamp, but at No. 82 current ADP, it won't take a lot for Ingram to outproduce that draft status.
4. Isaac Redman, PIT
Redman doesn't have special talent, but what he does have is opportunity. With Ben Roethlisberger struggling to learn the new offense, Mike Wallace out indefinitely and a reinforced offensive line, all signs point to Redman getting enough volume to outproduce his No. 85 ADP.
5. Ronnie Hillman, DEN
Willis McGahee is at that 30-year-old milestone, but due to his significantly larger career workload than Fred Jackson,'s McGahee is a better bet to be fall off the cliff this season. If that happens, Hillman (No. 114 ADP) would capably fill in.
6. Mikel Leshoure, DET
Assuming no further off-the-field issues, Leshoure should eventually take over the starting role from concussion magnet Jahvid Best this season. At No. 120 ADP, Leshoure would easily outproduce that draft slot.
7. Isaiah Pead, STL
While plenty of people think Steven Jackson will be fine this season, history appears to argue otherwise. At No. 140, Pead is a low-risk, high-reward sleeper candidate in very deep leagues.
Off the List
Reggie Bush finally had his big season—and then the Dolphins changed the coaching staff. I'm not sure Bush will fit in Mike Sherman's new offense.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis couldn't get it done behind a solid New England offensive line and against defenses specifically playing the pass, so I'm skeptical he'll get it done in a Cincinnati offense that's also looking to be pass-first this year.
Donald Brown is in a Colts offense in flux. With that many question marks, I'd rather go with someone safer.