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UFC on Fuel TV 4: Preview, Odds and Predictions for Munoz vs. Weidman Fight Card

Vince CareyContributor IJuly 9, 2012

UFC on Fuel TV 4: Preview, Odds and Predictions for Munoz vs. Weidman Fight Card

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    Are any fight junkies already in need of another fix after UFC 148?

    The UFC has you covered.

    Less than a week after one of the biggest events in the promotion’s history, the UFC is back on Fuel TV with an interesting fight card in San Jose, and with a main event featuring two of the top middleweights on the planet, we may get to watch Anderson Silva’s next challenger emerge.

    Like every other card this summer, UFC on Fuel 4 has been hit hard by the injury bug and lost big name fighters like Jon Fitch and Brandon Vera for various reasons.

    Still, despite a lack of big name opponents, there is a ton of talent on this card and the entire event should be packed with excitement.

Anthony Njokuani vs Rafael Dos Anjos

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    The first fight on the Fuel TV main card has a lot of potential to steal the show.

    Anthony Njokuani is one of the most spectacular strikers in the sport, and his technical abilities on the feet make him a tough test for anyone as long as he can keep the fight standing.

    That’s exactly what he is going to need to do against tough UFC veteran Rafael dos Anjos, who will almost certainly be looking to drag the fight to the mat.

    Dos Anjos is one of the scariest grapplers in the lightweight division, having scored submission wins over both Terry Etim and Kamal Shalorus, and could easily tap out Njokuani if he gets him to the ground.

    On the feet, Njokuani is going to have a clear advantage, but he’ll have to be careful. Dos Anjos has one punch knockout power, as evidenced by his one punch stoppage of George Sotiropoulos, and he could easily tag the striker on the feet.

    Dos Anjos is just a little more well rounded, and he’ll eventually get Njokuani to the mat and end the fight with a submission.

    Rafael dos Anjos by Third Round Submission (Rear Naked Choke)

T.J. Dillashaw vs Vaughan Lee

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    Following a huge upset win over MMA legend "Kid" Yamamoto at UFC 144 in Japan, Vaughan Lee is riding on a lot of momentum in the bantamweight division.

    Despite a split decision loss to Chris Cariaso in his UFC debut, Lee has looked like a fighter worth watching at 135 lbs. His upcoming fight against TUF 14 finalist T.J. Dillashaw should answer a lot of questions about the British bantamweight.

    T.J. Dillashaw went into his season of The Ultimate Fighter as one of the favorites to walk out of the house as champion, but a quick loss in the finals to flyweight contender John Dodson pushed Dillashaw a bit further back in the pecking order.

    After the loss to Dodson, T.J. returned to the cage at UFC on Fuel 1 in February, where he completely dominated Walel Watson in a lopsided decision win.

    As fun as Lee is to watch fight, he’s likely in a lot of trouble against Dillashaw.

    The Team Alpha Male fighter has some of the most stifling wrestling in the division and he’ll use it to expose Lee before locking in a fight ending choke.

    T.J. Dillashaw by First Round Submission (Guillotine Choke)

Karlos Vemola vs Francis Carmont

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    As one of the more underrated bouts on an underrated card, Karlos Vemola and Francis Carmont are looking to make a statement in the middleweight division.

    Vemola has had a rocky start to his UFC career going 2-2 in three separate weight divisions, but he looked like he was finally where he needed to be when he defeated Mike Massenzio at UFC on FOX 3 in March.

    Vemola is an extremely strong 185 lb fighter, and it will be fun to see if he will be able to toss Carmont around as easily as he did Massenzio.

    Carmont is one of the UFC’s highest regarded prospects in the middleweight division, gaining notoriety for training with UFC welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre, and he has looked the part so far in his UFC career.

    Having gone 2-0 inside the Octagon, Carmont has quietly been climbing the ladder towards a fight with a top tier middleweight and he could easily attain his goal if he can defeat Vemola.

    This should be a wildly entertaining fight, but in the end Carmont’s skill is going to be too much for Vemola’s raw ability and he should walk away with the decision.

    Francis Carmont by Unanimous Decision

Aaron Simpson vs Kenny Robertson

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    After a few years of getting bullied by some of the top fighters in the middleweight division, Aaron Simpson has decided to shed an extra 15 lbs and try his luck in the welterweight division.

    Originally this fight featured Simpson making his 170 lb debut against Jon Fitch, but when Fitch was forced out of the bout with an injury the UFC turned to Kenny Robertson to step in and replace him.

    Robertson is making his return to the promotion after he was cut following his lone fight inside the Octagon against Mike Pierce.

    Despite being known for his grinding style, Pierce was able to score a rare finish victory over Robertson in the fight when he scored the knockout early in the second round.

    Both of these fighters are wrestlers, but Simpson should have a clear advantage wherever the fight goes.

    Whether it’s on the mat or on the feet, Simpson should dominate this one and will walk away with a stoppage win.

    Aaron Simpson by Second Round TKO

James Te-Huna vs Joey Beltran

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    “The Mexicutioner” has returned.

    After being released by the UFC following a 3-4 stint in the heavyweight division, Joey Beltran has reinvented himself in the 205 lb division. After earning a win on the regional scene, he’s also already got himself a co-main event spot on a UFC card.

    Beltran was known mostly for his toughness and willingness to trade punches as a heavyweight, and there is not any reason to assume he’ll want to do anything else now that he’s dropped a weight class.

    While James Te-Huna has gone 3-1 during his UFC career and has finished his opponent in every single one of his victories, he still has not gotten much notoriety in the star-studded light heavyweight division.

    Te-Huna smashed his last two opponents in a combined less than three minutes, and other than a loss to Alexander Gustafsson at UFC 127, the Australian fighter has been dominant inside the Octagon.

    In all honesty, Te-Huna really could have used a fight against a big name opponent here, and a win over Beltran is going to do next to nothing for his career.

    As long as he is not already looking past Beltran, this should be a quick win for Te-Huna.

    James Te-Huna by First Round Submission (Kimura)

Mark Munoz vs Chris Weidman

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    Odds:

    Munoz: +115

    Weidman: -145 

    The main event of the night features two of the best wrestlers in the middleweight division, and both Mark Munoz and Chris Weidman are hoping their ground game can get them a UFC title shot.

    Munoz has been slowly making his way up the middleweight rankings for three years now, and other than a slight setback against Yushin Okami in August of 2010, he has been perfect as an 185 lb fighter.

    After scoring back-to-back big wins over Demian Maia and Chris Leben, Munoz has been a win away from a middleweight title shot for over six months now.  Injuries, however, have forced him to sit on the sidelines.

    When Munoz was injured and forced off of the UFC on FOX 2 card in January, Chris Weidman was given the opportunity to step up and fight on the reshuffled card and he earned the biggest victory of his UFC career over Demian Maia.

    Weidman did not look great against the BJJ expert, but given the fact that he took such a tough fight on short notice that should probably be forgiven.

    Both of these fighters are tremendous wrestlers, but it is going to be difficult for either man to really dominate in the grappling department.

    This fight could easily end up being a slug fest, since Munoz seems to be the superior fighter in that aspect of the game.

    As a result I have to give Munoz the slight edge in this bout, but Weidman’s wrestling could be good enough for him to take the decision.

    Mark Munoz by Split Decision

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