Predicting Which College Football Head Coach Is Likely to Be Fired First in 2012
These coaches need some job security.
Their jobs are in serious danger, and not at the end of the 2012 season.
No, the coaches on this list have a great shot at being fired before the season even ends.
While it's extremely unlikely that all 10 will be canned before season's end, these 10 are the guys who are on the edge of having their "hot seat" collapse under them.
10. Joker Phillips, Kentucky
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In two seasons at Kentucky, Phillips has led the Wildcats to an 11-15 record.
Not exactly stellar.
While it's likely he will last until the end of the season, the personnel losses the Wildcats have suffered will make it difficult to compete in the stacked SEC.
9. George O'Leary, UCF
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O'Leary's record is 50-51 over his eight seasons with the Knights.
His inability to sustain success will be his eventual downfall.
He led the Knights to a 10-4 season in 2007, only to follow it up with a 4-8 campaign.
In 2010, it was an 11-3 season, followed by last season's miserable 5-7.
With a move to the Big East on the horizon, O'Leary is running out of time.
Without a great season, he won't make it to see the Big East, and may not make it to season's end.
8. DeWayne Walker, New Mexico State
Coaching at New Mexico State is a challenge.
The Aggies have had only two winning seasons since 1999.
Walker has contributed to that run of ineptitude with a 9-29 record in three seasons at NMSU.
The program's athletic director has got to be considering a new direction considering the potential for WAC to collapse and leave the Aggies seeking a new conference home.
7. Randy Edsall, Maryland
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Edsall is dancing on the brink of disaster here.
His Terrapins finished last season on an eight-game losing streak, and only won a solitary conference matchup.
His handling of the Danny O'Brien transfer was a mess, not to mention a nightmare for Maryland's image.
It has only been one season, but if the Terps don't jump out to a great start, Edsall could find himself out on his ear before the season is over.
6. Dan Enos, Central Michigan
The Chippewas went 12-2 in 2009.
Then Enos took over, and they won half that amount of games in two seasons.
A 6-18 record in that time is a major step down after sitting atop the conference.
The expectations are not for conference titles, but three-win seasons are not going to cut it.
With another miserable first half of the year, Enos will be bidding adieu to his head coaching position.
5. Robb Akey, Idaho
Akey's willingness to stay for six seasons in a place where long-tenured coaches are the exception has earned him some good will.
That said, no program can stand to lose forever.
Akey's 14 wins between '09-'10 were the high point, but the team has failed to win more than three games in any of his other seasons at the helm.
Another abysmal start, and Akey won't see November as the head coach of the Vandals.
4. Bobby Hauck, UNLV
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I am a firm believer that Bobby Hauck still retains his job simply because he possesses the ice-cold stare of death.
No athletic director wants to mess with that.
There is also the little detail of the Rebels' 4-21 record under Hauck, as well as their complete appearance of ineptitude on the field.
Yes, the situation he inherited was a disaster, but it has been two seasons, and UNLV has shown no signs of progress.
Without significant improvement, quickly, that stare will be elsewhere.
3. David Bailiff, Rice
Bailiff has posted three straight losing seasons with the Owls, and a fourth would spell the end of his tenure.
Rice is not the optimal program at which to win games, but Bailiff's failures are getting extremely bad.
The Owls should be able to have a winning season far more often than they have, especially in C-USA.
It's possible Bailiff will make it to the end of the season, but with a miserable start to the conference slate, he won't make it that far.
2. Mike Price, UTEP
UTEP has not won more than six games since 2005.
That's no winning seasons in six seasons of football.
The Miners finished last season 5-7, after being predicted to finish at the bottom of their conference hierarchy.
That mild success postponed Price's downfall, but a bad start to 2012 will topple him.
1. Frank Spaziani, Boston College
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Spaziani's Eagles started off 1-6 last year, but wound up winning three of their last five.
Even so, Spaziani has seen the team's record steadily decline in his three seasons, from 8-5, to 7-6 and finally 4-8 in 2011.
If the Eagles flail around early in the season again, Spaziani will not be around to see ACC expansion, or even the end of the campaign.