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Crosby has played in just 28 games in 1.5 years
By no means do I believe Sidney Crosby lacks talent. Crosby is one of the most skilled players in the NHL.
He's just not on the ice often enough to justify a large-volume, long-term contract. The contract he will sign on July 1 is way too high risk for the Penguins to get any return.
The Penguins drafted Crosby in 2005 with the first overall selection and up until 2011, it was a no-brainer.
In 2011, Crosby's concussion issues started.
Whether it was the hit from David Steckel or Victor Hedman, since New Year's Day 2011, he hasn't been the same Crosby.
Some may argue it's too small of sample size to make any sort of inference—Crosby has played in just 28 games since those hits.
I look at two numbers that make a his type of center-man effective: Face off percentage and shooting percentage.
Crosby has a career .151 shooting percentage. Wayne Gretzky, the Great One, had a career .176 shooting percentage so Crosby isn't far off there.
The issue comes in last season. According to the Penguins, when Crosby returned to action he was fully recovered.
Despite being healthy, Crosby shot a career low .109 percentage. Why didn't the Penguins consider that?
The other stat worth mentioning is the one thing that centers do most, take face offs. The season before his injury, Crosby won nearly 56 percent of his draws. That was tied for 14th in the league.
Superb performance from one of the league's premier centers.
After his concussion, Crosby won 50 percent of his draws in the regular season and 54 percent in the playoffs.
Both stats are down from previously healthy Crosby numbers.