As the 2012 NBA draft approaches, there is a point when the amount of faith put in some prospects becomes delusional.
Overrating is not just a trap for the top names on the draft board. Granted, it will always be a bigger story when a Kwame Brown or a Michael Olowokandi busts.
However, when an organization picking in the 20s reaches for a guy with second-round talent, it could miss out on the final piece of a championship team. Just ask the Boston Celtics how J.R. Giddens helped to add some youth following 2008.
In the business of making educated guesses on young men's futures, talent evaluators are prone to emphasize the reward over the risk. For the five prospects on this list, that is not the best approach.