Euro 2012: Quarterfinal Odds, Preview and Prediction for Greece vs. Germany

Kevin Stott@@KevinStott11Senior Analyst IJune 21, 2012

KHARKOV, UKRAINE - JUNE 13: Mario Gomez of Germany in action  during the UEFA EURO 2012 group B match between Netherlands and Germany at Metalist Stadium on June 13, 2012 in Kharkov, Ukraine.  (Photo by Joern Pollex/Getty Images)
Joern Pollex/Getty Images


Date: Friday, June 22, 2012

Location: PGE Arena Gdańsk (Gdańsk, Poland)

Time: 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT

Television: ESPN, ESPN Deportes

Computer: Watch ESPN (Formerly ESPN3)

Satellite Radio: Sirius XM Channel 92

Odds To Advance: Germany: -800, Greece: +600

90 Minutes + Injury Time Odds: Germany: -1½ -120, Greece: +1½ Even


Three-Way Odds: Germany: -325, Greece: +1050, Draw: +400

First Half Odds: Germany: -½ -135, Greece: +½ +115

First Half Total: 1o -120

Odds To Win Euro 2012: Germany: 2/1, Greece: 50/1



No quarterfinal matchup in this tournament has odds as disparate as this one, in which Germany is a very heavy favorite in Gdańsk on Friday.

And rightfully so.

Greece fought its way into the Final 8 with a hard-fought 1-0 upset win against Group A favorites Russia in its last match after drawing with Poland (1-1) in the opener and losing to the Czech Republic (2-1) in its second match.

If this match were a Scrabble game, there’s no doubt that the surprise UEFA Euro 2004 champions Greece would destroy Germany—as well as all other nations—but it’s not, so Sokratis Papastathopoulos and Kyriakos Papadopoulos will just have to concentrate on playing great defense against the aggressive German attack.

Georgios Samaras has been disappointing so far in the tournament for Greece, especially defensively. I except Germany to try and exploit that with its four talents up front in Thomas Müller, Mesut Özil, Lukas Podolski and Mario Gomez.

Meanwhile, Greece striker Theofanis Gekas will have his work cut out for him as he tries to negotiate the German defense, which features defenders Jérôme Boateng, Mats Hummels, Holger Badstuber, Philipp Lahm and talented goalkeeper Manuel Neuer.

At this point, Germany, along with Spain, looks like the team to beat in this European Championship. Germany has won all 13 games that it has played in qualifying and in the tournament so far, including a sweep through the Group of Death.



And many on Germany’s deep roster play for Bayern Munich and still have that bitter taste of the UEFA Champions League loss to Chelsea fresh in their mouths, so expect some extra motivation from that rough reality.

In Greece’s 1-0 win against Russia in its last match, the game’s lone score came right before halftime when it seemed Russia’s defense fell asleep for the briefest of moments.

That won’t happen here.

It’s likely Germany will dominate the time of possession here and score first.

I just can’t see Greece scoring more than one goal, whereas I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Germany’s Gomez notches two himself.

And when your bench has names like Miroslav Klose, Per Mertesacker and Toni Kroos on it, well, let’s just say it’s fun to be manager Joachim Low.

I think thanks to some clutch passing by Sami Khedira, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Özil that Gomez will score a goal in each half, and Germany will move on to the semifinals with relative ease.

So, no big upset for Greece this time around. Sorry, Sokratis.


PREDICTION: Germany 2 Greece 0

BETS: Germany -½ -135  (First Half), Germany -1½ -120


Odds: LVH SuperBook (Formerly the Las Vegas Hilton)


Follow me on Twitter: @KevinStott11


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