Roger Federer: Six-Time Wimbledon Champion Will Not Reach Finals in London

Ben Chodos@bchodosCorrespondent IIJune 20, 2012

LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 29:  Roger Federer of Switzerland reacts during his quarterfinal round match against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga of France on Day Nine of the Wimbledon Lawn Tennis Championships at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on June 29, 2011 in London, England.  (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)
Julian Finney/Getty Images

Roger Federer has been remarkably successful at Wimbledon throughout his career, but he will not be able to reach the finals this year.

The men’s field at the majors has been fairly predictable in the last couple of years, and it is a safe bet that Federer, Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will be three of the four semifinal contestants. This has been the case if four of the last five Grand Slams. 

Djokovic is the top seed at the tournament, while Nadal is second and Federer is third.

However, Federer will almost certainly have to defeat Nadal or Djokovic in order to reach the finals. 

The two top-ranked players in the world are at the peak of their powers. Djokovic, the world’s No. 1, has been in the finals in the last four Slams and has won three of them.

Nadal has been Djokovic’s opponent in the last four majors, and managed to beat him only at the most recent one, the French Open. However, Nadal’s performance at Roland Garros was incredibly dominant and he will be brimming with confidence as heads to Wimbledon. 

Federer has not had much success against either player recently and he also has not played well at Wimbledon in his previous two tries. 

Djokovic has defeated Federer in six of the last seven meetings in the past two years. The most recent match was in the semifinals of the French Open where Djokovic won all too easily.

Nadal has taken four of the last six against Federer since 2011 and has won 10 of the last 14 matches dating back to 2008. To stack the odds further against Federer, he has been eliminated in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon in the past two years.

At 30 years old, Federer cannot beat the 26-year-old Nadal or the 25-year-old Djokovic at a major semifinal anymore.

While it is likely that Federer will be among the last four standing in London, he will not be able to move past Djokovic or Nadal to reach the finals for the eighth time in his career.