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Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, remarkably, has only just turned 19 years old. Part of the attraction he'll draw during the Calder voting is the fact that he's accomplished everything so far at such a young age.
His advantages lie in two facets: He plays for one of the worst teams in the league and finding individual success on a bad team is very difficult, and his 52 points were league-leading among rookies.
It's fair to assume that Nugent-Hopkins' production would have been significantly higher had he played an injury-free season. However, his merit for the award won't come off that speculation alone. In 62 games he still led all rookies in points and integrated himself into an Oilers team that doesn't have a reputation for high offensive production.
While all the candidates are obviously qualified, Nugent-Hopkins is the complete package. He displayed in his first year that he clearly belongs in the NHL, and if he doesn't take home the Calder Memorial trophy this year, we can expect he'll be up for another NHL award very soon.