NBA Finals 2012: Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game 3 Prediction

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I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that the Oklahoma City Thunder will win Game 3. 

In Game 2, the Miami Heat got an efficient 72 points from LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. They also received another ridiculous 17-point effort from Shane Battier, and held the Thunder to only 43 percent shooting.

The end result? They only won by four points.

How can that happen? Well, the Thunder have stopped turning the ball over, and it's starting to look like this trend might be here to stay. Oklahoma City was the most turnover-prone team in the league this season, but the team has been meticulously careful in these playoffs.

On Thursday night, the Thunder coughed it up only 10 times. That, combined with their ability to get to the line, enabled them to compete on an off night.

This is not to say that Miami played poorly. Erik Spoelstra made an adjustment, and the Heat started guarding Kevin Durant better on pin-down screens. They chased him around picks rather than switching or bringing help that compromised their defense. It was a fine strategic shift, and even if KD torched them for 32 points, the other Thunder players were largely held in check. 

Chances are the Thunder will take back home-court advantage in one of the next three games in Miami. Based on the recent action, I wouldn't be surprised if they did it in Game 3. 

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