In college football recruiting, we love to focus on the top five, 10 and 25 classes and such. We give our attention to the good classes, big-time programs and surprises.
However, we also have to look at those programs that have a down year on the recruiting trail. One bad year in recruiting can set a program back in the future big-time.
For this read, I'm going to give you 10 programs that are in danger of fitting that mold. These are schools with low commitment numbers, lacking quality talent and in danger of having just an awful year on the trail.
Todd Graham came to the desert from Pitt so he could run a BCS program and be around family.
Well, recruiting hasn't gone too well.
Graham bolting from Pitt after a year and not telling his team in person seems to have hampered him in recruiting. Right now the Sun Devils only have two commitments, and the state's top prospect, DB Priest Willis, likely won't play in Tempe.
The Bulls are a sleeping giant, in my opinion, due to their location in the Tampa area of Florida, improved facilities and more.
However, Skip Holtz only has three pledges, and none are even 4-star prospects. USF needs to get going if it wants to remain a relevant Big East team for years to come.
Surely, getting a signed LOI from 5-star CB Vernon Hargreaves III would make this class look immensely better.
I'm not sure why BC isn't a sexier school on the recruiting trail. It has tradition, is a BCS program and offers a great education.
Oh well—they make this list anyway, as the Eagles hold just three pledges, and only two of them are from 3-star prospects.
I don't foresee any high-profile 4-star recruits, let alone any 5-star prospects, heading there this cycle, so this may be a long one in Boston.
I'm cringing a bit at having Stanford on this list because I'm sure the Cardinal will rack up more commits as time passes. Plus, the three commits they have are great quality.
I'm not a quantity guy when it comes to recruiting rankings, as quality matters, but we're in June now, and holding just three pledges is a bit odd for the Cardinal.
If there's a team on this list that probably won't be here in a few months, it's Stanford.
The Hogs have six pledges, but you have to wonder how their class will really look next February.
By then, they should have a permanent long-term head coach, and this class could have a totally different shape.
Bobby Petrino's dismissal wasn't the best thing for the program, obviously, and recruiting has been affected. This still could very well be a wash year for Arkansas recruiting.
Purdue just can't seem to get going in recruiting, as there really hasn't been a steady rise for the Boilermakers on the trail.
They lost out on stud OLB Jaylon Smith to Notre Dame, and it's questionable if 4-star DE and Indy native Elijah Daniel will head there.
Right now, the Boilermakers only have one commitment.
The Golden Gophers are in the same boat as their Big Ten rivals Purdue, as they too only have one pledge so far in 2013 recruiting.
Last year was Jerry Kill's first year in Minneapolis, and he did a solid job on the recruiting trail, bringing in players who could work with him.
This year, he's behind a bit.
This could be an awful year for Kentucky for two reasons, the first being who it won't get.
Kentucky native and 4-star WR James Quick probably won't end up in Lexington, and neither will 4-star DE Jason Hatcher, another Bluegrass State baller.
Not landing the top two prospects in your state is a huge blow and stinger, plus only having three commitments right now doesn't project to having a great recruiting year.
The Hoosiers are led by Kevin Wilson, who came from Oklahoma last year. Wilson is a QB man through and through, and he thought he had his man in Gunner Kiel.
Kiel obviously ended up at Notre Dame, and this year the Hoosiers lack a single commitment. This could be a pretty down year for the Hoosiers.
The Beavers were OK last year. They landed 4-star WR Malik Gilmore and 5-star OL/DL Isaac Seumalo.
This year, they don't have anyone committed. It's always been tough recruiting in Corvallis, but this year has been especially tough for Mike Riley.
It's not looking too good for the Beavers.
Edwin Weathersby has worked in scouting/player personnel departments for three professional football teams: the New York Giants, Cleveland Browns and the Las Vegas Gladiators of the Arena League. He spent a year evaluating prep prospects and writing specific recruiting and scouting content articles for Student Sports Football (now ESPN Rise-HS).
A syndicated scout and writer, he's also contributed to WeAreSC.com, GatorBait.net and Diamonds in the Rough Inc., a college football and NFL draft magazine.