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Belmont Stakes Odds: Horses That Will Make Late Push for Win

Not Active Not Active Jun 8, 2012

Even if youย donโ€™t consider yourself a huge fan of the horse racesย and the only horse you haveย ever heard of within the context of the Triple Crown is Secretariat, you have probably found yourself at the horse races or watching it on television at least once.

If you do find yourself watching the Belmont Stakes as a "beginner" viewer on Saturday, June 9, you will have two questions: โ€œWhy do these horses all have such awkward names?โ€ and โ€œWho, now that Iโ€™ll Have Another has dropped, could make a late push and win this thing?โ€ย 

If you are a serious fan of horse racing, you already know that I'll Have Another was supposed to race on Saturday with hopes of being the 12th horse in history to capture the Triple Crown. Alternatively, Iโ€™ll Have Another shockingly bowed out of the race late Friday morning, the day before the race. Trainer Doug O'Neil announced the news on the Dan Patrick Show.

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Both Iโ€™ll Have Another, and his main competition,ย Bodemeister, whoย finished second to I'll Have Another at both the 2012 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakesย will not be participating Saturday. This leaves a huge open spot for any horse to take it. There is no longer an overwhelming favorite.

The Belmont Stake is the last race of the three that make up the Triple Crownโ€”the other two, the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, are a huge factor in determining odds.ย Schedule and distance are of vital importance in determining odds at the Belmont Stakes.

Belmont Stakes is a long race; it is longer than the two previous races at a mile and a half. So, horses suited for long distance are better positioned to do well.

In addition, it is ideal that thoroughbred horses onlyย race once a month or fewer than 10 times per year.ย And a result, scheduling is another key factor in analyzing horses for the toughest of the three Triple Crown races, which all take place within a five-week time span.ย 

Withย Bodemeisterย out of the race,ย Paynterย is a great choice to make a late push for a win, andย many analystsย are sayingย that the colt would have been I'll Have Another's main opponent come Saturday.

Theย owner of bothย Bodemeisterย andย Paynter, Ahmedย Zayatย has publicly said that he believes thatย Paynterย is the better horse of the two.ย As the race closes in,ย Paynter's odds get better and better.ย As of Friday morning, he isย 8-1.ย With Iโ€™ll Have Another gone as well, Paynter is sure to have a very good chance to win.

Paynterย is aย lightly raced horse, giving a slight advantage because he is well rested.ย 

Another horse that has a serious chance to win Belmont Stakes 2012 isย Street Life.ย 

If you believe in superstitions, you will be interested in noting thatย Street Life starts in the No. 1 position,ย the starting slot for 23 Belmont winners, the most out of any of the starting slots.ย 

Trainer Chad Brown explainsย to those who observe that Street Life hangs back until late in the race that Street Life is a long-distance racehorse, improving as the race goes on. This could be a major game changer in a 1.5-mile race, as this is a very well suited racing style forย Belmont.ย 

Street Life, like Paynter, is only lightly raced. It is only a matter of time before Street Life peaks as he has been vividly improving.

The only question is if he will unleash his full potential in time for Belmont. His odds as of Friday morningย areย 12-1, but like Paynter, they are sure to improve with I'll Have Another gone.ย 

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