Fantasy Football 2012: Choose Your QB—Joe Flacco vs. Matt Flynn
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Today's installment of "Choose Your Quarterback" pits Baltimore's Joe Flacco against Seattle's Matt Flynn—the No. 21 and No. 22 passers in my pre-draft listing of Top 25 quarterbacks.
Note: A new Top 25 will be released sometime this month, perhaps next week.
Here's a week-by-week fantasy breakdown of Flynn vs. Flacco—just in case you're torn on which one to draft in Round 8, 9 or 10. And yes, we're assuming that Flynn has the chops to trump Tarvaris Jackson and rookie Russell Wilson for Seattle's No. 1 QB slot.
Week 1—Flacco (vs. Cincinnati) over Flynn (vs. Pittsburgh)
Week 2—Flynn (vs. Dallas) over Flacco (at Philadelphia)
Week 3—Flynn (vs. Green Bay) over Flacco (vs. New England)
Week 4—Flynn (at St. Louis) over Flacco (vs. Cleveland)
Week 5—Flacco (at Kansas City) over Flynn (at Carolina)
Week 6—Flynn (vs. New England) over Flacco (vs. Dallas)
Week 7—Flacco (at Houston) over Flynn (at San Francisco)
Week 8—Flynn (at Detroit) over Flacco (BYE)
Week 9—Flynn (vs. Minnesota) over Flacco (at Cleveland)
Week 10—Flacco (vs. Oakland) over Flynn (vs. N.Y. Jets)
Week 11—Flacco (at Pittsburgh) over Flynn (BYE)
Week 12—Flacco (at San Diego) over Flynn (at Miami)
Week 13—Flacco (vs. Pittsburgh) over Flynn (at Chicago)
Week 14—Flynn (vs. Arizona) over Flacco (at Washington)
Week 15—Flacco (vs. Denver) over Flynn (at Buffalo)
Week 16—Flacco (vs. N.Y. Giants) over Flynn (vs. San Francisco)
Week 17—Flynn (vs. St. Louis) over Flacco (at Cincinnati)
Flacco edges Flynn, 9-8
Without getting knee-deep into the research, I'd say that Flynn has the easier schedule of the two quarterbacks; and yet Flacco (3,610 yards passing, 21 total TDs last season) still emerged as the majority-rules victor in nine of the first 16 weeks.
We're splitting hairs with the matchups from Weeks 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 and 13, which reiterates just how close Flacco and Flynn will likely be in August. However, there is a great unknown factor with Flynn—which may drop him into Round 11.
Flynn (six TD passes against Detroit in Week 17 last year) seemingly has the upper hand on Flacco for six of the first nine weeks. So, if that holds true, a smart owner should view Flynn as an ideal sell-high commodity before the November trade deadlines. (Obviously, few 12-team league owners will employ Flacco and Flynn as their primary quarterbacks, and if that's the case, that club better be stacked at running back, receiver and tight end.)
I like both quarterbacks' chances of eclipsing the attainable marks of 3,400 yards passing and 21 touchdowns. That's an ultra-conservative estimate. Both passers have the capacity for 3,900 yards and 26 touchdowns—in a career-defining campaign.
Here's another capital reason for reaching a little bit higher for Flacco on draft day: For the fantasy-playoff period of Weeks 13-16, he gets the early nod three times.
I'm willing to bet that Flynn throws for 300 yards against his old team (the Packers) in Week 3 in prime time. Flacco's seasonal best will likely come in San Diego for Week 12.
Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.
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