Pacquiao vs. Bradley Odds: Why the Smart Money Is on Bradley

Mick AkersAnalyst IJune 6, 2012

LOS ANGELES, CA - MAY 29:  Timothy Bradley answers questions at a media workout  at Fortune Gym on May 29, 2012 in Los Angeles, California.  The workout is in advance of Bradley's upcoming WBO welterweight championship fight against Manny Pacquiao on June 9 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

As this Saturday's welterweight title fight between pound-for-pound great Manny Pacquiao and challenger Timothy Bradley quickly approaches, one thing on everyone one's mind is who they should bet on.

I feel that the underdog, Bradley, is the smart pick this weekend.

Pacquiao (54-3-2, 38 KOs) has been favored in just about every fight he has been in over the past seven-plus years or so, and this time is no different, as "Pacman" is the big favorite (-450), with Bradley coming in at +325, according to Las Vegas Sports Betting.

This time around I see "Pacman" having major difficulties against Bradley (28-0, 12 KOs), who can push the action forward just as well as he can counter-punch Pacquiao.

The one fighter that "Pacman" has had the most problems with in his career is Juan Manuel Marquez, as any of their three fights could have gone to either fighter, although each was ultimately awarded to Pacquiao. Marquez's counter-punching style gives "Pacman" all kinds of problems.

Add Bradley's speed to his ability to fight defensively, and we have a recipe for disaster for Pacquiao and his 15-fight win streak.

Bradley is undefeated and has had his chin tested only one time in his career, in his fight against Kendall Holt back in 2009, in which Bradley fought on and was victorious. 

The argument that many have made is that if Holt could rock Bradley's chin at 140 pounds, Pacquiao should be able to at 147.

The fact is that Bradley will also have the extra weight on. Yes, "Pacman" could test Bradley's chin, but again, with his speed and counter-punching abilities, I don't see Bradley meeting the canvas at any time in their fight.

Another thing to remember is that there are yet again problems going on in Pacquiao's camp, as trainer Freddie Roach and strength and conditioning coach Alex Ariza are at odds. If the main guys responsible for "Pacman's" performance are distracted, that means Pacquiao is not getting the best training they can offer.

Though it will be hard to defeat Pacquiao by decision, I feel Bradley will look too good against "Pacman" and really give the judges no other choice but to give Bradley the win in this fight.

Expect close scorecards from each of the three judges and maybe even a split-decision win, but I feel as though Bradley will pull the upset and become the new WBO welterweight champ.

Making anyone who bets on his +325 odds very happy in the process.