NBA Draft Lottery Odds: Anthony Davis' Potential Impact on All Lotto Teams

Brian Mazique@@UniqueMaziqueCorrespondent IIIMay 30, 2012

LEXINGTON, KY - APRIL 17:  Anthony Davis talks with the media during the news conference in which he announced he will enter the NBA draft at Joe Craft Center on April 17, 2012 in Lexington, Kentucky.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

How would Anthony Davis change the fortunes of the teams in the 2012 NBA draft lottery? Any team with balls in the machine has a chance to win, and that means each of those teams has a shot at Davis.

The Chicago Bulls proved miracles can happen when they bucked the odds to snag the top pick in the 2008 draft, despite only having a 1.7 percent chance of getting the first selection. With that selection they changed the course of their franchise by selecting Derrick Rose.

He led the Bulls on a constant ascension that has seen them tally the best record in the NBA two years in a row.

Were it not for his knee injury in the first round of these playoffs, I believe it would be Rose's Bulls challenging the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference final.

I'm not one that believes Davis will have that type of impact, but I do acknowledge he is a very talented prospect. That said, let's take a look at the teams with a shot at selecting Davis (barring a trade that changes things) and the impact he could have on those lineups.



CHARLOTTE, NC - JANUARY 14:  Charlotte Bobcats owner, Michael Jordan sits beside fiance, Yvette Prieto during the Golden State Warriors versus Charlotte Bobcats game at Time Warner Cable Arena on January 14, 2012 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  NOTE TO USE
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Charlotte Bobcats - 25 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

The Bobcats have the greatest chance to win the lottery, and they clearly need the most help. They don't have a star at any position, and neither of last year's lottery selections (Kemba Walker and Bismack Biyombo) are good enough to say their spots are solidified.

Davis would be viewed as a potential savior in Charlotte, but the Bobcats need much more than Davis. If he is their most significant upgrade, then Charlotte still won't win more than 20 games.

He's a decent piece, but not a big enough impact to help them reach the playoffs anytime soon.


Washington Wizards - 19.9 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

The Wizards have their point guard in John Wall, and they have a decent big man in Nene. Throw in Davis and this team is certainly on the upswing. They won't be ready to make the playoffs just yet with Davis alone, but adding a shooter or two would put them on their way.

Davis needs a playmaking point guard to reach his full potential, and Wall is that type of player.


New Orleans Hornets - 14.8 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

(The Hornets have two picks in the lottery; this is their combined chance at attaining the top pick.)

LOS ANGELES, CA - APRIL 22:  Eric Gordon #10 of the New Orleans Hornets scores on a layup against the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center on April 22, 2012 in Los Angeles, California.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downl
Harry How/Getty Images

The Hornets would do well to take Davis. The franchise needs a name to increase the marketability of the team, and Davis is the best player from the team that just won the national championship.

The Hornets are another team that isn't really set at any position—except 2-guard, and that's if they can retain restricted free agent Eric Gordon.

Much like the Bobcats' situation, Davis won't have a ton of impact on the Hornets' immediate win total, but he could be a decent piece in the rebuilding effort.


Cleveland Cavaliers - 13.8 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

The Cavs already drafted Tristan Thompson in the lottery last year, so in my opinion they would be better off trading the top pick to someone that covets Davis. They played Thompson out of position at center at times in 2011-12, but he's really a power forward.

They could add other assets while still drafting a player that can help them.

If they did take Davis, I'd assume Thompson would come off the bench, but I don't think this is the ideal situation.


Teams with a Decent Chance

Sacramento Kings - 7.6 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

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Davis with the Kings would be very interesting; like the situation in Washington he'd be united with another former Kentucky standout, DeMarcus Cousins, and another John Calipari-coached player in Tyreke Evans.

The Kings have talent, and Davis could be the type of defensive presence that helps this team turn the corner. A starting five of Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Thornton, Evans, Davis and Cousins would be promising.

This is a team where Davis could have a huge impact.


Portland Trailblazers - 8.3 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

(The Blazers have two picks in the lottery; this is their combined chance at attaining the top pick.)

The Blazers should almost certainly trade the top pick if they get it. LaMarcus Aldridge is one of the best power forwards in the NBA, and taking Davis would be relegating the rookie to a reserve role for the foreseeable future, or planning to play someone out of position.

Both of those alternatives are bad ideas in my opinion. The Blazers could add assets and still draft the best guard available by moving the pick.


Long Shots

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - MAY 22:  Head Coach of the Golden State Warriors Mark Jackson speaks at a press conference with the Golden State Warriors announcing plans to build a new sport and entertainment arena on the waterfront in San Francisco in time for the
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Golden State Warriors - 3.6 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

This pick could go to the Utah Jazz if it falls outside of the top seven. If they are lucky enough to score the top pick, they should pounce on Davis.

The Warriors need to instill a defensive culture while maintaining their uptempo style. No player in the draft offers that possibility more than Davis.

It's only a slim chance, but the Warriors could improve and challenge for a playoff spot, if they are so lucky. A starting five of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Dorell Wright, Davis and Andrew Bogut would be a good look, provided they all stay healthy.


Toronto Raptors - 3.5 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

The Raptors have a wealth of length and youth on their frontcourt already. Last year's lottery selection, Jonas Valanciunas, is set to arrive, and they already have Andrea Bargnani and Ed Davis.

That said, they would still have to select Davis here.

None of those prospects have proven enough to deter the Raptors from selecting him. His defense would have a big impact on the team, but the health of Bargnani and development of DeMar DeRozan is paramount if Davis' impact would allow the Raps to contend for the playoffs.


It's Going to Take a Miracle

Detroit Pistons - 1.7 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

Davis could start from day one along side Greg Monroe. I still believe Monroe is more of a power forward, but he has had success as a center. Davis is a perfect complement to Monroe with his length, athleticism and defensive prowess.

If another John Calipari product, Brandon Knight, turns the corner, the Pistons could make the playoffs next season with Davis.


Milwaukee Bucks - 0.7 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 26:  Head coach Scott Skiles of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on March 26, 2012 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or usi
Chris Chambers/Getty Images

Scott Skiles would love Davis, and he would flourish in his system. As an athletic big man that can defend the rim, Davis would get plenty of minutes in Milwaukee. Skiles' teams almost always overachieve, and if you plug Davis into the Bucks' frontcourt, they would be a playoff team next season.

This would be a great, but unlikely landing spot for him.


Phoenix Suns - 0.6 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

If Steve Nash leaves in free agency, the Suns could be one of the three worst teams in the NBA next season. If you add in Davis, they are better, but not much. This team needs everything as they aren't completely set at any position.

Davis would give them a power forward, but without Nash he won't have the point guard to create opportunities for him early on.

He'd be a piece in a huge puzzle the Suns have to put together.


Houston Rockets - 0.5 Percent Chance to Win the No. 1 Pick

The Rockets are desperate for an inside presence. I'm not sure Davis would give them the offense they need, but defensively he'd be a huge asset.

The team has some talent and scoring elsewhere, so Davis wouldn't have to score much early. Drafting him would allow them to possibly move Luis Scola and others.

The Rockets just missed the postseason this year, and drafting Davis would almost certainly land them in the playoffs next year.


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