2012 Preakness Winner: Chances I'll Have Another Will Win at Belmont

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2012 Preakness Winner: Chances I'll Have Another Will Win at Belmont
Rob Carr/Getty Images

I'll Have Another won in another stunner at the 2012 Preakness Stakes, pulling off a second straight come-from-behind victory over favorite Bodemeister and giving him a good chance to win the Triple Crown with a win at Belmont on June 9th.

I'll Have Another will now have a good chance to become the first horse to win the Triple Crown since Affirmed won all three races way back in 1978.

He will have an excellent chance to win the Triple Crown this year, due to the fact that the track at Belmont is a full mile-and-a-half long. If we've learned anything about this colt, it's that he has a better kick at the end than any of the other horses competing at his level right now.

Watching I'll Have Another's last two performances at the Derby and now at the Preakness, you get the sense that he has another gear beyond that of Bodemeister. He may take longer to get up to speed, but once he finally shifts into top gear, he is good to go for a while longer than the other colts in the race.

It's kind of like comparing a Porche to a Mercedes. The Porsche (Bodemeister) is able to get up to top speed in a heartbeat and continue pulling away from the rest of the contestants. The Mercedes (I'll Have Another) takes a bit longer to get up to top speed, but given enough distance, he's going to outpace the field.

Will I'll Have Another win the Belmont Stakes and become a Triple Crown Winner?

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I'll Have Another has a full five-sixteenths of a mile longer to get up to his top speed at the Belmont Stakes than he did at the Preakness. He has proven to be a horse of strong stamina and will, and given the extra distance, there's a strong chance he will win in a landslide against horses like Bodemeister. 

If he's to be beaten, it will have to be by another horse of his type. I haven't seen one, so far, in either of the first two legs of the Triple Crown, leading me to believe that this colt can actually pull off the feat.

I am intensely waiting for the Belmont Stakes to arrive, now that I'll Have Another has won the first to events. We're about to see history in the making, folks.

 

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