The 137th running of the Preakness Stakes will take place today, Saturday at 6:18PM Eastern Time, at the Pimlico track in Baltimore, Maryland. At the 2012 Preakness Stakes, post positions mean everything.
In the 2012 Preakness Stakes field there are only 11 horses. A majority of the 2012 Preakness horses just raced two weeks ago in the Kentucky Derby. As a result, the durability of 2012 Preakness favorites including I'll Have Another, Bodemeister and Went The Day Well might disappoint.
While durability may be an issue, I think the 2012 Preakness winner will still be among the horses that raced two weeks ago in the Kentucky Derby. According to ESPN's Gary West, in the last 30 years, only four Preakness winners didn't race in the Kentucky Derby.
Will the 2012 Preakness winner be a Kentucky Derby racer or a new avenger?
Creative Cause: Post Position 6, Odds: 6-1
The Preakness post position 6th spot has had 15 winners since 1909.
Creative Cause has won four out of nine starts and will look to get back to form in the 2012 Preakness field.
As a result, Creative Cause does have history on his side. According to Jack Shinar at Bloodhorse, Creative Cause was fifth in the Kentucky Derby, three lengths behind the winner while also racing extremely wide on the far turn.Winner of the Norfolk Stakes at 2, the gray/roan colt is seeking his first win since Santa Anita's San Felipe Stakes March 10.
Who will win the 2012 Preakness Stakes?
Moreover, Boston.com also has Creative Cause as a 2012 Preakness favorite, with a smaller field, jockey Joel Rosario should be able to find good position not far behind the front-runners and then make his move at the right time.
Daddy Nose Best: Post Position 8, Odds: 12-1
The Preakness post position 8th spot has posted 10 winners since 1909 and Daddy Nose Best has won four out of 11 starts. Daddy Nose Best will have the services of the experienced jockey Julien Leparoux back for today's Preakness field. Leparoux won the El Camino Real Derby and the Sunland Derby on Daddy Nose Best earlier in the season. Julien Leparoux reported on ESPN that,
This horse is very good on dirt and I think the distance will help him a lot. Any race at a mile and an eighth or over is going to be right for him. The connections have been clear that the horse came back from the Derby in excellent shape, and I think he's got a great shot to be competitive and hopefully win the race.
Even better news for Daddy Nose Best is trainer Steve Asmussen knows how to win at the Preakness, having won the race two out of the last five years (2009, Rachel Alexandra and 2007, Curlin).
Teeth of the Dog: Post Position 2, Odds: 15-1
The Preakness post position 2nd spot has posted 11 winners since 1909. This spot would have had Union Rags, but trainer Michael Matz and owner J.W. Singer decided to bench Union Rags, after the poor showing at the Kentucky Derby and go with their backup horse Teeth of the Dog.
Now Teeth of the Dog has been improving every day. Although all the experts think the horse is a definite long-shot in this 2012 Preakness field, you can bet Matz, Singer and their jockey Joe Bravo will come back with a vengeance in today's Preakness Stakes.
The Baltimore Sun reported Teeth of the Dog broke his maiden in Florida earlier this year, beating Derby fourth-place finisher and third-favorite in the Preakness, Went the Day Well, then finished third in the Wood Memorial. He was given the best odds of all the shooters on the morning line, at 15-1.
The 2012 Preakness Stakes is a short, fast race and if the horse racing nation learned anything from the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago, it's that the element of surprise is always present.