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A quick look at the final standings this season shows that the Rangers finished 17 points ahead of the Capitals in the standings, a very large gap.
While the two teams have played a very close, very tight playoff series so far, the creme tends to rise to the top over time and the Rangers have proven themselves to be the better team over the long haul of an 82-game season.
Sure upsets are possible, but the reason they are unexpected is because it means a lesser team has to defeat a team with a better record.
Again, the Rangers should be the favorites to win Game 7.