Kentucky Derby Results: Why I'll Have Another Upset Makes Triple Crown Unlikely

Timothy RappFeatured ColumnistMay 5, 2012

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 05:  Mario Gutierrez celebrates atop I'll Have Another after winning the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby ahead of Bodemeister ridden by Mike Smith at Churchill Downs on May 5, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Travis Lindquist/Getty Images)
Travis Lindquist/Getty Images

I hate to be the bearer of bad news, especially after I'll Have Another was brilliant in this year's Kentucky Derby, blazing to the finish and nosing past Bodemeister in the end.

But unfortunately, it makes it seem very unlikely that we'll see a Triple Crown winner this year.

Bodemeister has to be the favorite heading into the Preakness—he was brilliant for most of this race, and led nearly from start to finish. At a shorter track like Pimlico, Bodemeister is going to be difficult to beat, as might horses such as Hansen or Gemologist.

And let's not forget about the longer track at the Belmont Stakes, where horses like Union Rags and Dullahan may be tough to defeat.

Churchill Downs is the perfect length for I'll Have Another, and jockey Mario Guiterrez sent him on an absolutely brilliant run, settling one horse off the rail early in the race despite starting from the No. 19 post and closing at 15-1 odds.

That allowed I'll Have Another to settle into a comfortable pace and bide his time before making a fantastic final push, eclipsing Bodemeister and holding off the similarly epic close of Dullahan.

It was the perfect race, and perhaps that's the problem for I'll Have Another: It's hard to imagine him replicating it.

And for that matter, it's hard to imagine another horse being favored ahead of Bodemeister at the Preakness.

Which means, once again, we'll go without a Triple Crown this year.

Here are the complete results from the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby, with the payouts for the winners below.

Finish Horse Jockey Post Odds
 1 I'll Have Another  Mario Gutierrez   19  15-1
 2 Bodemeister  Mike Smith    6  4-1
 3 Dullahan  Kent Desormeaux    5  12-1
 4 Went The Day Well John Velazquez
  13  30-1 
 5 Creative Cause Joel Rosario    8   11-1
 6 Liason Martin Garcia
  20   56-1
 7 Union Rags Julien Leparoux     4  5-1
 8 Rousing Sermon Jose Lezcano
   7   40-1
 9 Hansen Ramon Dominguez
  14  13-1 
 10 Daddy Nose Best Garrett Gomez
  10  14-1 
 11 Optimizer Jon Court
   2   42-1 
 12 Alpha Rajiv Maragh
  11  19-1
 13 El Padrino Rafael Bejarano
  16   29-1 
 14 Done Talking Sheldon Russell
  17   39-1 
 15 Sabercat Corey Nakatani
  18   37-1 
 16 Gemologist Javier Castellano
  15   18-1 
 17 Trinniberg Willie Martinez
  19   44-1 
 18 Prospective Luis Contreras
  12   57-1 
 19 Take Charge Indy Calvin Borel
   3   11-1 
 20 Daddy Long Legs
Colm O'Donoghue    1
 23-1

And now your payouts, from KentuckyDerby.com.

PG# HORSE WIN PLACE SHOW
19 I'll Have Another $32.60 $13.80 $9.00
6 Bodemeister   $6.20 $5.60
5 Dullahan     $7.20

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