It's now official that Andrew Luck will be the No. 1 overall pick in this year's NFL draft. With that No. 1 spot comes a lot of hype and big expectations that Luck will have to work hard to try and fulfill. The odds seem to be stacked against him though since the last couple No. 1 overall picks, excluding Cam Newton, have been slow to their feet in the NFL.
Personally, I see Andrew Luck stepping into his role with the Colts just nicely.
For starters, Luck couldn't have been a better replacement for Peyton Manning. The Lucks and Mannings have gone back for many years since Archie Manning and Oliver Luck—Andrew's father—have been friends since they played together at Houston University.
The family ties have familiarized Luck with being around high-profile athletes while getting inside advice and mentoring from none other then Manning himself.
On top of that, Luck played an amazing career at Stanford, arguably the best quarterback the school's had since John Elway. Luck was a close second in the Heisman race more than once and, personally, should have won the prestigious award.
I predict that Luck will be able to take the Indianapolis Colts to the playoffs within the first three years of his career. He has the skills as both a leader and a player to lead this newly rebuilt team back to prominence. The weapons and surrounding talent are back in Indy, and Luck will be able to take full advantage of his new teammates and coaching staff.
Within the first five years of his career, I can see him get on the same pace that Manning was on at this point in his career and start accumulating a resume for an eventual league MVP honor that may even be possible to clinch by his fifth year in the league. Again, Luck has the skill, but it's up to the players around him to act as a conduit for his skills. If the receivers don't carry their weight then Luck cannot possibly be as effective as he can be.
How many championships will Luck win in his career?
The final big prediction I have for Luck is that he will win a championship within his first 10 years in the NFL. The Colts tend to stay away from constantly shifting personnel so Luck will be able to establish a strong bond with his NFL teammates, similar to the bond he had with his team at Stanford.
Luck will go on to capture another title or two and chances are a few MVP titles as well. He's an outstanding specimen of the traditional drop back and pass quarterback, a niche that has been able to thrive in Indy since for the last 14 years.
To add frosting to the cake, NFL scouts gave luck a grade of 97.0. In case you're not familiar with this grading system, any player who's grade falls between 96 and 100 are described as "once-in-a-generation type prospect who could change how the position is played".
Granted, scouts haven't proven to be the best fortune tellers but it's a pretty startling claim and Luck is the only prospect of this year's draft to receive such a high mark.