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Almost every single mock draft has the Miami Dolphins selecting Ryan Tannehill with the eighth overall pick. I just don’t see it happening.
I honestly think the Dolphins like Matt Moore too much, and they did bring in David Garrard as a pretty solid backup. Tannehill is a stretch to go in the top 10 of the draft, and he’s a developmental quarterback who would be best suited sitting for several years before being thrust into the starting role.
If Tannehill slips past the Dolphins, the next candidates are the Buffalo Bills at 10, the Kansas City Chiefs at 11 and possibly the Dallas Cowboys at 14 or the Philadelphia Eagles at 15.
I have all four of those teams passing on Tannehill, which means the next team likely to select him is Cleveland picking again at 22. This would be eerily similar to what happened with Brady Quinn in 2007, when the Browns held the third overall pick, took Joe Thomas and then still got their man Quinn with the 22nd pick.
I think if Tannehill is still there at 22, the Browns have to pick him. Mike Holmgren isn’t stupid. He knows Colt McCoy isn’t the answer.