2012 Draft Predictions: 6 Teams Guaranteed to Trade Up, Down
Last year, there were four trades in the first round alone, with the biggest being Atlanta's move to snag Julio Jones. With the new CBA in place, trades are now a lot easier for teams to accomplish early on in the draft, and this year, there could be a lot of them.
Of course, there are six rounds after the first anyway, so you're all but guaranteed to see a lot of trades go down before the whole thing is over.
So what teams are most likely to shakeup the draft order? Here are six teams that will definitely be moving around on draft day.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars
I would be willing to bet a pretty penny that the Jaguars won't keep the No. 7 pick.
When Ryan Tannehill falls to No. 7, someone is going to want him enough to trade up. Everyone knows the Dolphins are interested in Tannehill, so if anyone else wants him, they'll have to move up to 7.
Furthermore, the Jaguars are supposedly interested in Stephen Hill, but won't want to use such a high pick on him. Trading down could be what they're looking to do. They could secure Hill and pick up additional picks.
If they keep the pick, it's because there's less interest in Tannehill than I thought.
2. New England Patriots
Once again, the Patriots have two first round picks. Once again, they'll probably trade one of them away for a future first rounder.
Another option is to trade those two late picks for a higher pick. As good as the Patriots were last year, they might want to target a blue chip player to get them over the hump instead of two late round guys.
If a guy the Pats have their eyes on falls to within reach, don't be surprised to see them trade up for him.
Lastly, Bill Belichick and Andy Reid have orchestrated a trade in every draft for the last decade and then some, so I'd be shocked if Belichick didn't find a willing trade partner somewhere this year.
3. Philadelphia Eagles
Another coach who likes to move around on draft day is Andy Reid.
Like I said in the previous slide, Reid and Belichick have orchestrated a trade at some point in the draft as far back as I can remember.
Philadelphia seems interested in several players which likely won't be there when they pick, like Fletcher Cox, Ryan Tannehill, and Mark Barron. It's always hard to tell who Reid is legitimately interested in and what's just a smoke screen.
He may really be targeting one of those guys, someone else entirely or he may be willing to sit it out and take whoever falls to him.
Whether in the first round or not, the Eagles will make some moves on draft day. They don't have many needs, so when they see someone they want, they're gonna go after him.
4. Indianapolis Colts
No, I'm not suggesting that they'll move from the first overall pick. What I am suggesting is that, as many holes as they have, I wouldn't be surprised to see them move down in the second or third round to pick up some additional picks.
Since they're moving to a 3-4 defense, the Colts have to secure a nose tackle. Alameda Ta'amu is probably their best shot in round two, but he's not worth taking with the second pick. He probably won't be there in the third round, so if they want him, they'll have to trade down.
The same thing could happen for the many other positions the Colts need help at (corner, safety, offensive line, running back, tight end). If they need someone, they may have to move around if they don't want to make a big reach pick.
5. St. Louis Rams
Another team with a ton of holes, the Rams will use the extra draft ammunition they got to move around for whoever the front office has its eye on.
The Rams have already made some strides in free agency, and if Justin Blackmon makes it to the sixth pick, the Rams will be well on their way to competing in the NFC West again. However, they still need upgrades in the defensive backfield, offensive line, and defensive tackle position.
Jeff Fisher isn't one to trade often, but since the Rams already have extra picks this year, along with two first rounders next year, I wouldn't be surprised to see them move around early on.
6. Kansas City Cheifs
This isn't a guarantee so much as a prediction, but I think it's the Chiefs that wind up grabbing Ryan Tannehill.
The Browns will not take Tannehill at No. 4, and no team after that is looking for a quarterback until the Dolphins. With the Jaguars eager to trade down, someone will trade up to grab Tannehill before he gets to pick 8.
The Dolphins could move up one spot to secure him, or another team in the area could steal their thunder. My prediction is that it'll be the Chiefs who do just that.
Matt Cassell is still getting paid a lot next year, so he'll probably be the starter next season, but it's clear by now that he isn't the long term solution. Tannehill could sit behind him for a year and let the coaching staff develop him into starting material.
Tannehill to the Chiefs makes sense, and they can get him without investing too much. Don't rule it out just yet.