We see players rise and fall on mock draft boards every year as the draft nears.
Sometimes the praise is warranted, sometimes it's not. More often than not, names begin to climb towards the top as we find out which teams have which needs.
Once you can rule out certain positions for the top-10 drafting teams, players will be bumped into a class in which they do not belong, based solely on the position they play.
That's what we have seen happen with former Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill over the last few weeks.
He was projected as a third or fourth round pick back in January. Now, some analysts are suggesting Tannehill might go in the top 10.
If Tannehill does go in the top 10, it's a mistake of gargantuan proportion.
The young quarterback threw a total of nine passes in his first two seasons at Texas A&M. Well the Aggies must have had a stellar year then, right?
Texas A&M finished 7-6 with a 4-5 conference record.
Tannehill threw only 42 career touchdowns. That goes along with 21 career interceptions.
Not exactly top-10 stats, are they?
Last season, two QB's got a lot of hype as we approached draft day and both players have so far not been very good in the NFL.
Those players are Blaine Gabbert and Jake Locker.
Neither seems to be the answer at QB for their teams. People became enamored with both players when they realized some teams looking for a franchise QB would be able to select them.
Tannehill has nice size, but that's where his NFL pedigree ends. Based on his collegiate career, he shouldn't even be a first-round pick.
In today's NFL, where passing rules all, we will see more and more teams gamble big on draft day, and ultimately lose.
On Thursday, some team will make Tannehill their No. 1 pick, and will regret it almost immediately. He's at least two years away from being able to make a difference as an NFL starting QB.
That alone should knock Tannehill back to round two.
There are other concerns, such as Tannehil coming to college as a wide receiver. He has only started 19 college games at QB. He lost four of his final five regular-season games.
Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert and Jake Locker have set the table for other overrated QB's to be selected higher than they should be in the NFL draft. Since passing is all that matters now, we will see more and more of this.
Tannehill will be a career backup, or will get to backup mode eventually.
In terms of comparison, think of Kyle Boller: All the physical tools, just not an NFL QB.
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