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Height/Weight: 5’11'', 190 lbs.
Drafted/Signed: 2009, third round (HS—Scotts Valley, CA)
Double-A (Padres): 26 IP, 1.38 ERA, 2.28 FIP, 10.73 K/9, 1.38 BB/9, 0.69 HR/9
Double-A (Rangers): 66.2 IP, 4.32 ERA, 3.53 FIP, 8.24 K/9, 0.95 BB/9, 1.22 HR/9
Overview: While many of the elite arms on this list have blazing hot fastballs and need to come up some in terms of commanding pitches and developing usable third pitches, Erlin already has plus secondary offerings and command. His breaking ball has terrific shape as does his changeup, and he locates both nearly as well as his fastball.
His fastball works in the 88-91 mph range, but can reach 93 mph when he lets one go. Erlin gets great plane on his pitches despite only being 6'0", and has fluid, repeatable, and athletic mechanics that should keep him healthy. His 2.99 ERA across two leagues (including 16 starts in the Texas League) and 154 strikeouts in 147.1 innings reflect just how dominant Erlin can be despite not having prototypical ace stuff. He only walked 16 batters all season, and despite a bit of a propensity for fly balls, Erlin projects as a very solid No. 2 option in the Show.
Organizational Rank: No. 4
Top 50 Rank: N/R