The 2012 NFL draft is full of tantalizing young prospects, but until fall ball begins, nobody can be certain how they will actually turn out.
Unfortunately, the start of the season is still months away—an awful thought for those of us already suffering football withdrawal symptoms. Until then, fans have nothing to do but read Bleacher Report's many interesting and thought-provoking articles...And from time to time take out their frustration in the form of aggressive, long-winded comments.
In order to stir the pot I have compiled a list of five popular prospects who are destined to disappoint. And yes, I included Andrew Luck.
Justin Blackmon #81
The same will be true for Justin Blackmon, who is the same height but seven pounds lighter than Crabtree.
Both receivers dominated in college thanks to their precise route-running, dependable hands and run-after-the-catch ability, factors that made up for their lack of acceleration.
Expect Blackmon to disappear during games (especially in the red zone) as he struggles to gain separation from coverage against NFL-caliber corners. He is a great receiver when the ball is in his hands, but he will not catch enough passes to warrant a top-10 selection.
Ultimately fans will be wishing their team selected Michael Floyd or even Brian Quick (who?) instead of Blackmon.
Dontari Poe at the 2012 NFL Combine
Dontari Poe's performance at the combine was epic. Any 6'4," 346-pound human being who can run the 40-yard dash in less than five seconds should be checked for superhuman powers.
He has deservedly gotten a ton of publicity following his gold medal performance at the Underwear Olympics, but all the hype has some draft experts calling him a top-10 pick? Let's get real.
While his pre-draft workouts would indicate he is a monster truck in pads, his collegiate stats show otherwise. In three seasons playing for Memphis (a member of Conference USA) he recorded five sacks, only one of which came in 2011.
Fans expecting to see him gobbling the quarterback will be disappointed. He will be nothing more than an above-average two-down run-stuffer in the NFL.
Lamar Miller #6
Lamar Miller will likely hear his name called during the second round of the draft, though some have him pegged as a first-rounder.
2011 was Miller's only season as a starter. While he gained an impressive 1,272 yards and nine touchdowns, he is not worth the money a first- or second-round pick deserves. While his straight-line speed makes him a sexy selection, he lacks the elusiveness to be a legitimate home run threat.
At 5'11" and 212 pounds he has a decent frame, but cannot be trusted to carry the load on offense. This was evident in the last seven games of 2011 when his yards per carry dropped by about three yards compared to his first five games.
In the end, whoever drafts Miller will wish they had waited two more rounds to get Isaiah Pead or Ronnie Hillman.
Courtney Upshaw #41
Courtney Upshaw used his strong 6'2," 272-pound body to maul offensive linemen in college.
While his 17.5 collegiate sacks indicate he is somewhat of a pass-rush specialist, he will only be effective against the run at the next level. He lacks the agility to do anything more than power his way through NFL-sized offensive linemen, something that will tire him out more than anything.
Upshaw is undeserving of a first-round grade as he will only be able to use his stumpy body to set the edge on run plays. And even then he does not possess the athleticism to break away from blockers and make tackles before running backs blow past him.
Fans thinking their team is drafting the next Dwight Freeney will not be pleased as Upshaw will go down as the biggest first-round bust in the 2012 draft.
Andrew Luck #12
I am going to safely assume Andrew Luck will be playing for the Indianapolis Colts next season. For this reason he is destined to disappoint.
This has less to do with him than it does his supporting cast. As of now Reggie Wayne (who will be 34 in November), Austin Collie and Donnie Avery are the team's best receivers. Not exactly a scary bunch.
They may draft someone like Stephen Hill (WR) or Coby Fleener (TE) with the first pick of the second round to give Luck some help, but considering all the holes on their defense this might not happen.
Something that has not been talked about is Luck's tendency to force passes when he is under pressure. He threw 10 interceptions in 2011, which was a career high (seven of which came in the final six games).
Colts fans will be peeved a year from now after their No. 1 pick throws more interceptions than touchdowns as a rookie.