Stephen Dunn/Getty Images
UPDATE: April 3, 12:30pm ET: Johnson has withdrawn from the Masters with a back injury.
The talent will never be a problem. No, the problem is that Johnson has been in position to win several majors on Sunday and always seems to move the wrong way.
If he makes progress on a Sunday (even if he doesn't win), then we can view him as a major threat. Until then, he's impressive, but not a great choice to win.
Bubba relies a lot on a heavy cut of the ball. At Augusta, the shots are pretty narrow, so that's not really a good idea. That will put him in a spot where he's trying shots that aren't his bread and butter. He won't sustain that for four days.
On paper, Kaymer has a game that sets up fine for Augusta. Unfortunately, he's never made a cut at the Masters, let alone contended. That means he's never faced the Sunday pin locations in crunch time. That has to happen at least once before even considering him a real threat to win.
The problems with Garcia have always revolved around the head and putter. The head seems to have improved, although I would like to see that for a full season. The putter is a different issue, which is why he can't be seen as a real threat to win.
This is a man to watch. While he's not terribly long with the driver, he is accurate. On top of that, his putting is top notch. Ultimately, the holdup is that there will be too many long irons going in.
Still, if a shorter hitter is going to do it, this will be the one.
The remainder of the field can be found at Masters.com. Tee times and pairings for Thursday and Friday's play will be revealed on Tuesday.