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Will Drew Pomeranz Win More Games in 2012 Than Ubaldo Jimenez?

DETROIT - SEPTEMBER 26:  Ubaldo Jimenez #30 of the Cleveland Indians pitches in the first inning during the game against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on September 26, 2011 in Detroit, Michigan.  (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)
Leon Halip/Getty Images
Paul ShaiaContributor IIIMarch 30, 2012

The Cleveland Indians made a deal with the Colorado Rockies to acquire ace Ubaldo Jimenez at last season's trade deadline, hoping to compete for the division title.

The lack of production from Jimenez and injuries derailed the Tribe's chances, while the Detroit Tigers ran away with the division.

This season Jimenez is set to have a full season with the Tribe as they have added depth in hopes of overtaking the Tigers for the division crown.

In order to get Jimenez from the Rockies, the Indians sent SP Alex White and SP Drew Pomeranz. Both quality minor-league prospects with major-league potential. 

Alex White became a part of the Rockies starting rotation last season with mixed results. He is slated to begin the season in the bullpen and make spot starts.

Drew Pomeranz has impressed many this spring and is nearly a lock to be the fourth or fifth starter come opening day. In four starts this spring, Pomeranz has allowed only one run.

These four starts have only amounted to 11 innings because of a recent thumb injury and previous side injury. Also, he has given up 7 hits in these 11 innings, a mixed signal to say the least.

On the other hand, Jimenez continues to struggle in a Tribe uniform. In six starts, Ubaldo has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 innings pitched. He's also allowed an alarming 26 hits.

Questions have now popped up. First, was this a good trade? And more importantly for this season, who will win more games in 2012?

The matter of Jimenez vs. Pomeranz is a debatable topic. Jim Bowden of ESPN.com made the bold prediction the latter will win more games this season based on spring performances. 

Unlike Bowden and many others, I think Jimenez will likely have the better 2012 campaign. 

Drew Pomeranz is a quality starter and may in fact have a far better career than his trade counterpart, but the fact remains that he is still very young and inexperienced on a mediocre ball club. 

Also, he has suffered two injuries this spring only pitching in four games. That is not a very long track record of success to base a full season prediction on.

Ubaldo Jimenez has not been impressive, but has stayed on the mound throughout his career. The chances of Jimenez reaching double-digits in wins for a contending team seems much more likely than Pomeranz doing so in 2012. 

 

Predictions for 2012:

Drew Pomeranz: 10 wins, 11 losses, 4.15 ERA

Ubaldo Jimenez: 14 wins, 10 Loses, 3.92 ERA

 

Was this a good trade for the Indians? Maybe not. However, if you are a Tribe fan you have to appreciate the fact that the Indians' front office made a move trying to win a division. 

Unless Ubaldo Jimenez returns to his previous form and wins 19 games, the trade may in fact be won by the Colorado Rockies. This year however, the Indians should get more production out of their acquisition.

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