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Upton is good, but not first round good.
Justin Upton is going to be a superstar in the MLB, but he's not a first-round pick just yet. Yahoo! ranks him 10th overall, but he should be bumped down about 10 more spots.
Here's a look at some of the guys who are ranked after Upton according to Yahoo!: Carlos Gonzalez, Evan Longoria, Jacoby Ellsbury, Prince Fielder, Dustin Pedroia and Mark Teixeira.
Upton is good, but he's not better than any of those players.
CarGo is capable of hitting .300 with 30 homers and 20 steals. While Ellsbury's home-run totals will most likely drop in 2012, he's still going to be a lock for a ton of runs scored and 35-plus stolen bases.
Then you have first basemen Prince Fielder and Mark Teixiera, who annually hit 35-plus homers with 100-plus RBI.
Evan Longoria and Dustin Pedroia play at much shallower positions, so finding a stud at third or second is much more valuable then using a top 10 pick on another outfielder.
Once the first couple second basemen go (Robinson Cano, Pedroia, Ian Kinsler) there's a considerable drop off. But, if you pass up on Upton, you'll still be able to get Hunter Pence, Andrew McCutchen, Matt Holliday or Jay Bruce much later.