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Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategy 2012: Sleepers Guaranteed to Dominate

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 21: Ike Davis #29 of the New York Mets runs the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Houston Astros at Citi Field on April 21, 2011 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images
Gabe ZaldivarPop Culture Lead WriterMarch 21, 2012

If you want to win your fantasy baseball league, you have to gamble on some promising sleepers, and here are the best. 

The first few rounds are so easy even a baby could make the right picks. Well, a baby with a Baseball Prospectus and a solid Internet connection could. 

The winning fantasy teams reach deep for the stars of tomorrow, the players that will make 2012 their playground and put up fantastic numbers. 

Sure, the losers will call them lucky, but we know better. It's all about calculating precisely the moment these guys breakout, and here are those breakout stars. 

Trevor Cahill

SEATTLE - SEPTEMBER 27:  Starter Trevor Cahill #53 of the Oakland Athletics pitches against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on September 27, 2011 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

The Arizona Diamondbacks should cruise in a soft division with a fantastic rotation and a solid lineup. Cahill comes in with little pressure and will survive in Arizona thanks to his ground-ball sensibilities. 

Cahill will improve in the dessert and post a below-4.00 ERA, and more importantly, have a better run production to rely on. 

If you are looking for a sneaky hot 15-game winner, it would be Cahill. 

Ike Davis: 

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 08:  Ike Davis #29 of the New York Mets bats against the Washington Nationals during the Mets' Home Opener at Citi Field on April 8, 2011 in the Flushing neighborhood of Queens in New York City. The Nationals won 6-2. (Photo by Al Bel
Al Bello/Getty Images

Feel safe in knowing that Ike Davis will slide to the very depths of most drafts. His durability issues should have other managers reaching for healthier first basemen. 

Davis should be on your radar as a late sleeper who will be just fine after ankle woes kept him to just 149 plate appearances last season. 

Expect him to come back to his 2010 production, and that means 20 home runs and a bating average north of .280. 

Paul Goldschmidt: 

PHOENIX, AZ - OCTOBER 04:  Paul Goldschmidt #44 of the Arizona Diamondbacks hits a grand slam in the fifth inning off pitcher Shaun Marcum #18 of the Milwaukee Brewers in Game Three of the National League Division Series at Chase Field on October 4, 2011
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

It's hard to find power late as most of the great outfielder and corner infielders will be taken. Goldschmidt will be on the radar of cagey owners in deep leagues, so beware. 

There is a ton to like about the prototypical big-hitting first baseman. After 177 plate appearances in 2011, the Diamondbacks budding star has seen enough to slip into a comfort spot to start the year. 

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