Predicting the Full-Season Stats of All 30 MLB Outfields

Dan Tylicki@DanTylickiAnalyst IMarch 21, 2012

Predicting the Full-Season Stats of All 30 MLB Outfields

0 of 30

    David Murphy: 136 G, .274 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI - David Murphy's a big step down from the power of Hamilton and Cruz, but he's consistent and serviceable, and his stats should look just like what he's recently put up.

    Josh Hamilton: 140 G, .304 AVG, 31 HR, 102 RBI - Josh Hamilton's in a contract year, so I don't get why people actually think he'll stumble. He should have little trouble having another MVP-type year.

    Nelson Cruz: 115 G, .271 AVG, 29 HR, 90 RBI - Nelson Cruz always puts up great numbers except the one that really matters, games played. I wish he could have one season where he didn't get hurt.

Baltimore Orioles

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    Nolan Reimold: 125 G, .251 AVG, 15 HR, 58 RBI - Reimold should finally be nearly an everyday outfielder, and he will get the opportunity for the most part. This presumes he'll beat out Endy Chavez and get most of the platooning time.

    Adam Jones: 152 G, .265 AVG, 22 HR, 75 RBI - Jones is going to have a slow start after a poor spring training, but the power in his bat will return. His batting average will be lower this year as pitchers figure him out a bit more.

    Nick Markakis: 159 G, .292 AVG, 17 HR, 80 RBI - Markakis has been fairly consistent the past few years, and with most of the outfield the same as last, his numbers should see a nice bump.

Boston Red Sox

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    Carl Crawford: 141 G, .280 AVG, 37 SB, 11 HR, 72 RBI - Carl Crawford is not going to go back to his 2010 levels, but he's certainly going to rebound from a poor 2011 and pay more in line with his earlier career numbers.

    Jacoby Ellsbury: 146 G, .299 AVG, 16 HR, 105 RBI, 43 SB - Ellsbury, conversely, will fall back to earth after a career 2011 and won't quite be an MVP candidate. He'll still be a relatively easy All-Star choice though.

    Cody Ross:  119 G, .255 AVG, 14 HR, 58 RBI - I see Ross winning the outfield spot to start off the season, though he will likely platoon with Ryan Sweeney most of the year.

New York Yankees

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    Brett Gardner: 156 G, .266 AVG, 49 SB, 38 RBI, 90 R - Gardner should have little trouble winning a Gold Glove this year after being robbed last year, and his speed will give the Yankees a great leadoff hitter.

    Curtis Granderson: 154 G, .258 AVG, 28 HR, 91 RBI, 102 R - Granderson will not quite have the huge offensive numbers as last year, but as long as his runs and RBIs are in the 100 range, I'm sure it won't be a big deal.

    Nick Swisher: 150 G, .265 AVG, 29 HR, 95 RBI - Swisher is a fairly consistent hitter, so one can expect him to hit like he's been doing. Since he's a free agent in 2013 though, he's a potential breakout candidate to hit .300 and drive in 100+ runs out of nowhere.

Tampa Bay Rays

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    Desmond Jennings: 141 G, .254 AVG, 95 R, 40 SB, 14 HR, 53 RBI - Jennings usurped the left fielder spot from Sam Fuld, but I see the two platooning at times this year. I don't think he'll hit the projected numbers for him, as people are looking at his small sample size and overrating him, but he'll do fine.

    B.J. Upton: 148 G, .245 AVG, 21 HR, 79 RBI, 35 SB - Upton has become relatively consistent in the past couple seasons and will provide good power and speed at the expense of a decent batting average, which won't see .250 this year either.

    Matthew Joyce: 135 G, .268 AVG, 20 HR, 72 RBI - After his breakout season last year, Joyce will hold right field down, and since he's played half-seasons before he should be able to avoid any sophomore slump.

Toronto Blue Jays

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    Eric Thames: 104 G, .270 AVG, 14 HR, 52 RBI - There is a log jam at left field that I don't think will be resolved during the season. Thames will likely get the most playing time there out of anyone; if Travis Snider was going to be the everyday left fielder it would have happened by now.

    Colby Rasmus: 136 G, .248 AVG, 15 HR, 58 RBI - The Blue Jays will stick with Rasmus in center field after a bad start in 2011, but I don't see him playing better than a serviceable center fielder, though he's still an improvement over Rajai Davis.

    Jose Bautista: 150 G, .281 AVG, 41 HR, 109 RBI, 110 BB - Bautista has some competition this year as the best AL offensive player, but he's proven he's the real deal—he'll be great once again.

Chicago White Sox

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    Alejandro De Aza: 125 G, .284 AVG, 8 HR, 65 RBI, 67 R - Fukudome is a right fielder rather than left, so this opens up this side for De Aza, who finally gets to show what he can do every day—even if playing left field rather than right may take some adjusting.

    Alex Rios: 144 G, .254 AVG, 15 HR, 63 RBI - Rios is not going to bounce back to being an All-Star, but at least he'll have a bit of a rebound after a poor 2011.

    Dayan Viciedo: 155 G, .285 AVG, 23 HR, 80 RBI - Here's my first breakout candidate, as my projections are all higher than what's been found. Besides, someone's gotta step up to fill Carlos Quentin's power void, and it's not going to be Adam Dunn.

Cleveland Indians

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    Shelley Duncan: 91 G, .250 AVG, 13 HR, 50 RBI - Shelley Duncan may be the best of an outfield where no one really knows who will be in the lineup besides Choo. Ideally, someone will break out and fill in here, as those stats are likely a best-case scenario.

    Michael Brantley: 139 G, .267 AVG, 20 SB, 7 HR, 57 RBI - Can Brantley play center field everyday with Sizemore injured and, let's face it, not a realistic candidate for one of the three spots here? We'll find out this year.

    Shin-soo Choo: 146 G, .288 AVG,  20 HR, 79 RBI, 21 SB - Choo puts up nice surface stats most years, but his leadership—which the Indians missed half the year—will prove invaluable.

Detroit Tigers

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    Delmon Young: 144 G, .276 AVG, 17 HR, 80 RBI - Delmon Young should perform about as well as expected when he was brought over. The outfield won't have quite the production the infield will, but that's not saying much, given who's in the infield.

    Austin Jackson: 156 G, .258 AVG, 90 R, 24 SB - Jackson's stats will be pretty much like what we saw in 2011, as 2010 looks more and more like an anomaly.

    Brennan Boesch: 128 G, .270 AVG, 18 HR, 64 RBI - Boesch should be able to hold down the everyday right field position as long as he stays healthy, but he's not going to approach the games played that Jackson has.

Kansas City Royals

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    Alex Gordon: 158 G, .294 AVG, 25 HR, 96 RBI, 104 R - Gordon proved in 2011 that he was the real deal, and I see him continuing to put up big numbers. He should have no trouble whatsoever finally getting an All-Star appearance.

    Lorenzo Cain: 130 G, .274 AVG, 70 R, 49 RBI - I'm not sure who will be the center fielder, but it does look like Lorenzo Cain will get most of the playing time, and he should perform well enough that they won't have to scrap him.

    Jeff Francoeur: 155 G, .258 AVG, 14 HR, 77 RBI - Unlike many who seem to like Jeff Francoeur and see him having a good year yet again, I'm still not sold on him and think he'll regress in 2012.

Minnesota Twins

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    Josh Willingham: 148 G, .249 AVG, 20 HR, 77 RBI - Willingham isn't quite going to produce the power numbers he did one year in Oakland, but he'll be a fine replacement for the power Jason Kubel and Michael Cuddyer had.

    Ben Revere: 139 G, .278 AVG, 39 SB, 78 R - Ben Revere should actually improve with a year under his belt and look like a quality leadoff hitter for Minnesota.

    Denard Span: 123 G, .277 AVG, 79 R, 55 RBI - Moving to right field may not be ideal, but Span will bounce back and look like the Span of old in 2012.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

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    Vernon Wells: 134 G, .229 AVG, 22 HR, 60 RBI - Many over at Fangraphs have Vernon Wells bouncing back thanks perhaps to Albert Pujols in the lineup, but his stats aren't really going to be any different than last year.

    Mike Trout: 122 G, .266 AVG, 36 SB, 12 HR, 59 RBI - I think Trout can usurp Peter Bourjos' spot in the outfield and hold it, with only management being any real barrier.

    Torii Hunter: 150 G, .259 AVG, 20 HR, 77 RBI - Hunter's batting average is going to continue to decline with his age, but he still has a year or two left of power in him.

Oakland Athletics

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    Coco Crisp: 121 G, .262 AVG, 58 R, 29 SB - Crisp is the only player on this team who I know will be at least a nearly everyday player. His numbers are going to start dropping, though, as he is on the wrong side of 30. He'll move from center to left field once Cespedes is ready.

    Yoenis Cespedes: 107 G, .233 AVG, 12 HR, 50 RBI - The first season is going to be rough for Cespedes, based on the way he hit the past few months we've watched him. He'll be much better in 2013, but the A's know they have to get through this part first.

    Josh Reddick: 118 G, .271 AVG, 14 HR, 65 RBI - At least to start the season, Reddick will hold a corner outfield spot, though he may be a casualty if the A's really are serious about using Manny Ramirez in the outfield, which I would hope they are not.

Seattle Mariners

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    Mike Carp: 134 G, .254 AVG, 21 HR, 68 RBI - Mike Carp was a breath of fresh air in an anemic Mariners' line up in 2012, and I think that is anyone can instill some power into this lineup in 2012, it's him.

    Franklin Gutierrez: 130 G, .244 AVG, 10 HR, 59 RBI, 21 SB - Gutierrez struggled big time last year, but his defense and offense should both bounce back about as well as one can bounce their hitting back in Seattle.

    Ichiro Suzuki: 160 G, .301 AVG, 201 H, 38 SB, 83 R - Was Ichiro's 2011 season bad luck or a sign of his downfall? I think it was luck to an extent, and he should remain over .300 for one more year, if only barely.

Texas Rangers

14 of 30

    David Murphy: 136 G, .274 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI - David Murphy's a big step down from the power of Hamilton and Cruz, but he's consistent and serviceable, and his stats should look just like what he's recently put up.

    Josh Hamilton: 140 G, .304 AVG, 31 HR, 102 RBI - Josh Hamilton's in a contract year, so I don't get why people actually think he'll stumble. He should have little trouble having another MVP-type year.

    Nelson Cruz: 115 G, .271 AVG, 29 HR, 90 RBI - Nelson Cruz always puts up great numbers except the one that really matters, games played. I wish he could have one season where he didn't get hurt.

Atlanta Braves

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    Martin Prado: 130 G, .267 11 HR, 55 RBI,  - Like last year, Prado will probably end up in left field by default, since their infield is well-stocked. Most see him bouncing back, but with all the trade rumors, I think he'll have a bit of trouble.

    Michael Bourn: 151 G, .276 AVG, 90 R, 55 SB - Bourn showed some great stuff in his time in Atlanta so far, and he should have no trouble continuing it.

    Jason Heyward: 148 G, .268 AVG, 22 HR, 76 RBI, 81 R - Heyward had a big time sophomore slump last year, which I had a feeling would happen. I also have a feeling that he will have no trouble bouncing back, and will look just like he did in 2010.

Miami Marlins

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    Logan Morrison: 130 G, .262 AVG, 19 HR, 71 RBI - Not much changes for Morrison, but with an increased batting average and Twitter follower count next year, we'll definitely see more of him.

    Chris Coghlan: 102 G, .251 AVG, 46 R - I don't see Coghlan ending the year as the center fielder, as he will continue to struggle and be the clear weak spot in the Marlins' lineup.

    Giancarlo Stanton: 158 G, .269 AVG, 39 HR, 112 RBI - Here's another breakout performer this year, as Giancarlo Stanton should continue to add to his home run totals, which already give the Marlins a lot of pop.

New York Mets

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    Jason Bay: 112 G, .247 AVG, 18 HR, 62 RBI - Jason Bay will struggle a bit with injuries, but I think when healthy he'll finally be somewhat effective for the Mets this year.

    Andres Torres: 121 G, .240 AVG, 20 SB, 11 HR - While Bay may struggle, his stats could very well look comparable to Torres, who may have a bit of trouble adjusting to New York in 2012.

    Lucas Duda: 137 G, .269 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI - Duda won't do enough work to help the rest of the outfield look good, but he'll showcase himself as a capable everyday right fielder this year.

Philadelphia Phillies

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    Laynce Nix: 118 G, .240 AVG, 12 HR - Left field is the odd position out after Raul Ibanez's departure, and Nix's lack of production will showcase that.

    Shane Victorino: 146 G, .269 AVG, 24 SB, 15 HR, 91 R - Shane Vicorino is in a contract year, and he will be pulling out all the stops both with his speed and power for the Phillies.

    Hunter Pence: 159 G, .295 AVG, 24 HR, 90 RBI - Hunter Pence, if he didn't do so already, will establish himself as the star of the Phillies' outfield this year, showcasing his talents big time.

Washington Nationals

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    Bryce Harper: 87 G, .276 AVG, 15 HR - I think Bryce will showcase enough at AAA where the Nationals will not only promote him, but give him left field, as they'll feel like they have to play him every day.

    Rick Ankiel: 103 G, .235 AVG, 40 R, 39 RBI - Ankiel and Roger Bernadina will likely split time, with Ankiel narrowly winning out here. Neither is much of an option though, as outfield is clearly the Nats' weak spot.

    Jayson Werth: 145 G, .261 AVG, 22 HR, 70 RBI - Jayson Werth will recover from a bad 2011 and at least somewhat bounce back, though he'll never quite be at the level he was when at his best with the Phillies.

Chicago Cubs

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    Alfonso Soriano: 128 G, .241 AVG, 20 HR, 66 RBI - Soriano's production continues to fall as his contract finally starts to near its end. Hopefully he can stay over the 20 HR mark one more year if nothing else.

    Marlon Byrd: 132 G, .280 AVG, 13 HR, 59 RBI - Marlon Byrd provides more for the Cubs than his stats indicate. Granted, his defense is going to start falling off, and he may end up moving to the corner outfield spot with DeJesus replacing him in center.

    David DeJesus: 143 G, .275 AVG, 72 R, 10 HR - David DeJesus had some bad luck in his lone year with Oakland, and he should look a lot more like he did with the Royals while he plays in Chicago.

Cincinnati Reds

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    Chris Heisey: 106 G, .268 AVG, 15 HR, 56 RBI - Heisey will likely split time with Ryan Ludwick, but he'll edge out in games played and should have a decent year.

    Drew Stubbs: 143 G, .235 AVG, 71 R, 12 HR - Drew Stubbs strikes out too often without enough power to really be effective, and that will cause his stats to go down a bit this year.

    Jay Bruce: 153 G, .272 AVG, 31 HR, 103 RBI - If Joey Votto is the team leader, then Jay Bruce is second-in-command with his high-level offensive performances.

Houston Astros

22 of 30

    Carlos Lee: 146 G, .272 AVG, 18 HR, 85 RBI - Lee is the only person we know will be a main player in the Astros' outfield. He seems to have one year of left field experience left in his before moving to first base after this year.If he moves to first base early on, J.D. Martinez could end up here.

    Jason Bourgeois: 112 G, .279 AVG, 31 SB, 44 R - It feels like Bourgeois will be the starting center fielder most of the year, and he's not too bad a replacement for Michael Bourn, especially in the stolen base department.

    Brian Bogusevic: 130 G, .251 AVG, 15 SB, 46 RBI - Brian Bogusevic probably won't become more than a serviceable right fielder or a good fourth outfielder, but right now that's all the Astros need.

Milwaukee Brewers

23 of 30

    Ryan Braun: 156 G, .304 AVG, 29 HR, 106 RBI - Braun will haev a slow start to the year after the offseason he had, but by June he'll be back to the reigning MVP we know.

    Nyjer Morgan: 142 G, .282 AVG, 60 R, 34 SB - Tony Plush isn't quite going to have the type of year he did in 2011, but he did finally unlock some of that talent and is ready to get some use out of it.

    Corey Hart: 139 G, .278 AVG, 28 HR, 90 RBI - With Prince Fielder no longer in the lineup and Braun already doing everything he can, it'll be up to Corey Hart to have a huge offensive year, which I think he'll do.

Pittsburgh Pirates

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    Jose Tabata: 131 G, .279 AVG, 78 R, 25 SB - Tabata will ideally play a full season in 2012, where we can really get a good picture of him. If he's great, then the Pirates have one of the best outfields in the division.

    Andrew McCutchen: 152 G, .283 AVG, 31 SB, 23 HR, 90 RBI - Andrew McCutchen is already the clear star of the Pirates, and he will again prove why that is the case in 2012. Plus, his average will bounce back up.

    Garrett Jones: 138 G, .251 AVG, 18 HR, 65 RBI - Jones tends to be the part of the outfield people forget about when it comes to the Pirates, but he still does a solid job with the bat and glove.

St. Louis Cardinals

25 of 30

    Matt Holliday: 150 G, .302 AVG, 28 HR, 102 RBI - With the departure of Albert Pujols, Matt Holliday will step up and be a leader, both in the clubhouse and with his bat, as he has a great year in 2012.

    Carlos Beltran: 109 G, .290 AVG, 20 HR, 76 RBI - I'm not confident in Beltran's ability to stay healthy. That being said, he'll perform very well for the Cardinals when he is in fact healthy.

    Jon Jay: 141 G, .295 AVG, 10 HR, 54 RBI - Jon Jay tends to be forgotten about, when he's a solid hitter who's hit around .300 two straight years, so he's not a guy who can be slept on.

Arizona Diamondbacks

26 of 30

    Jason Kubel: 126 G, .254 AVG, 20 HR, 63 RBI - Kubel was acquired for his offensive production, but it's not going to compare to Justin Upton's or even Chris Young's. Nonetheless, he'll still perform about as expected.

    Chris Young: 154 G, .240 AVG, 23 HR, 76 RBI, 80 R - Chris Young is not a guy who will hit .250, but he can produce and score a lot of runs, and he'll have no trouble doing that again this year.

    Justin Upton: 155 G, .298 AVG, 28 HR, 94 RBI, 107 R - If anyone had any doubts about Justin Upton's abilities as a five-tool player, he'll put them to rest with his performance this year.

Colorado Rockies

27 of 30

    Carlos Gonzalez: 137 G, .300 AVG, 29 HR, 101 RBI - CarGo was still great in 2011, but lost a bit of a step. Expect him to find that and have a great enough year to earn a bit of MVP discussion.

    Dexter Fowler: 145 G, .278 AVG, 20 SB, 95 R - Having finally been given an everyday position, Dexter Fowler will be able to showcase his talents much better than he's been able to so far.

    Michael Cuddyer: 152 G, .291 AVG, 25 HR, 84 RBI - Despite his projections being pretty much the same as last year, there's no question in my mind that Coors Field will help raise Cuddyer's stats and make him look even batter.

Los Angeles Dodgers

28 of 30

    Jerry Sands: 125 G, .243 AVG, 12 HR, 51 RBI - My gut tells me that Jerry Sands will usurp Tony Gwynn, Jr. in left field, though who knows what might happen. It'll be a tough first full year, but Sands will start showing promise late.

    Matt Kemp: 160 G, .301 AVG, 29 HR, 98 RBI, 100 R - It will be tough for Matt Kemp to duplicate the huge offensive performance he had in 2011, and he's not going to. As long as he comes close and had a .300 average, though, that will have been a great year.

    Andre Ethier: 144 G, .287 AVG, 19 HR, 78 RBI - The Dodgers are still waiting to see if Ethier will play like he did the first half of 2010, which probably won't happen. He'll have another solid year in right field, though.

San Diego Padres

29 of 30

    Carlos Quentin: 122 G, .242 AVG, 19 HR, 71 RBI - If there's one guy who can provide some power in the Padres' lineup, it's Quentin. I don't know if he can hit 20 home runs in PetCo, but he'll get close at the very least.

    Cameron Maybin: 144 G, .260 AVG, 31 SB, 63 RBI - Maybin should continue to grow now that he gets to play everyday as a Padre, though his numbers aren't going to change much from last year.

    Will Venable: 131 G, .234 AVG, 10 HR, 51 R - Venable remains an everyday outfielder in the Padres' lineup, but I'm not sure if he can produce enough offensively to be worth it, and I don't see him proving me wrong this year.

San Francisco Giants

30 of 30

    Angel Pagan: 129 G, .271 AVG, 30 SB, 61 RBI - Pagan was brought in for his glove more than his bat, but he should prove capable as a replacement for Andres Torres.

    Melky Cabrera: 151 G, .278 AVG, 70 R, 13 HR, 59 RBI - Cabrera is not going to have the type of year he had with the Royals, but he will be fine in a Giants outfield that needs consistency and people who are at least okay, which Melky is.

    Nate Schierholtz: 122 G, .259 AVG, 10 HR - Schierholtz has played just well enough to get a starting nod in right field, though not necessarily a 150-game job. Expect the same this year as San Francisco's new acquisitions will probably perform better.